Jiangsu GDK (China) Market Value

688670 Stock   12.63  0.10  0.80%   
Jiangsu GDK's market value is the price at which a share of Jiangsu GDK trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Jiangsu GDK Biotechnology investors about its performance. Jiangsu GDK is trading at 12.63 as of the 19th of March 2025, a 0.80 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 12.53.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Jiangsu GDK Biotechnology and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Jiangsu GDK over a given investment horizon. Check out Jiangsu GDK Correlation, Jiangsu GDK Volatility and Jiangsu GDK Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Jiangsu GDK.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Jiangsu GDK's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jiangsu GDK is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jiangsu GDK's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Jiangsu GDK 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Jiangsu GDK's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Jiangsu GDK.
0.00
12/19/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
03/19/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Jiangsu GDK on December 19, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Jiangsu GDK Biotechnology or generate 0.0% return on investment in Jiangsu GDK over 90 days. Jiangsu GDK is related to or competes with Sportsoul, CITIC Metal, Lander Sports, Shanghai Yaoji, Hefei Metalforming, Western Metal, and Jiangsu Jinling. Jiangsu GDK is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHG exchange. More

Jiangsu GDK Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Jiangsu GDK's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Jiangsu GDK Biotechnology upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Jiangsu GDK Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Jiangsu GDK's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Jiangsu GDK's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Jiangsu GDK historical prices to predict the future Jiangsu GDK's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.0512.6315.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.3710.9513.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.1912.7815.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.9012.4312.96
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jiangsu GDK. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jiangsu GDK's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jiangsu GDK's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jiangsu GDK Biotechnology.

Jiangsu GDK Biotechnology Backtested Returns

Jiangsu GDK Biotechnology holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0721, which attests that the entity had a -0.0721 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Jiangsu GDK Biotechnology exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Jiangsu GDK's Standard Deviation of 2.62, risk adjusted performance of (0.10), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.8185 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.41, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Jiangsu GDK are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Jiangsu GDK is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Jiangsu GDK Biotechnology has a negative expected return of -0.19%. Please make sure to check out Jiangsu GDK's standard deviation, jensen alpha, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and information ratio , to decide if Jiangsu GDK Biotechnology performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.02  

Virtually no predictability

Jiangsu GDK Biotechnology has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Jiangsu GDK time series from 19th of December 2024 to 2nd of February 2025 and 2nd of February 2025 to 19th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Jiangsu GDK Biotechnology price movement. The serial correlation of 0.02 indicates that only 2.0% of current Jiangsu GDK price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.02
Spearman Rank Test0.48
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.07

Jiangsu GDK Biotechnology lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Jiangsu GDK stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Jiangsu GDK's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Jiangsu GDK returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Jiangsu GDK has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Jiangsu GDK regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Jiangsu GDK stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Jiangsu GDK stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Jiangsu GDK stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Jiangsu GDK Lagged Returns

When evaluating Jiangsu GDK's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Jiangsu GDK stock have on its future price. Jiangsu GDK autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Jiangsu GDK autocorrelation shows the relationship between Jiangsu GDK stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Jiangsu GDK Biotechnology.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Jiangsu Stock

Jiangsu GDK financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jiangsu Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jiangsu with respect to the benefits of owning Jiangsu GDK security.