Amlogic Shanghai Co Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

Triple exponential smoothing for Amlogic Shanghai Co - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Amlogic Shanghai Co prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Amlogic Shanghai Co price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Amlogic Shanghai Co.

Amlogic Shanghai Co Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Amlogic Shanghai Co on the next trading day is expected to be 79.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.32, mean absolute percentage error of 8.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 139.01.

Amlogic Shanghai Co Stock Forecast Pattern

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Amlogic Shanghai Co Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Amlogic Shanghai Co stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Amlogic Shanghai Co stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Amlogic Shanghai Co observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Amlogic Shanghai Co observations.

Predictive Modules for Amlogic Shanghai Co

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amlogic Shanghai Co. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 76.66 79.98 83.30 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 70.91 74.23 87.56 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 73.79 80.33 86.88 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Amlogic Shanghai Co. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Amlogic Shanghai Co's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Amlogic Shanghai Co's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Amlogic Shanghai Co.

Other Forecasting Options for Amlogic Shanghai Co

For every potential investor in Amlogic, whether a beginner or expert, Amlogic Shanghai Co's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Amlogic Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Amlogic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Amlogic Shanghai Co's price trends.

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Risk & Return

Correlation

Amlogic Shanghai Co Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Amlogic Shanghai Co's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Amlogic Shanghai Co's current price.

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