Amlogic Shanghai (China) Market Value

688099 Stock   70.90  1.92  2.64%   
Amlogic Shanghai's market value is the price at which a share of Amlogic Shanghai trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Amlogic Shanghai Co investors about its performance. Amlogic Shanghai is trading at 70.90 as of the 18th of December 2024, a 2.64 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 72.82.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Amlogic Shanghai Co and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Amlogic Shanghai over a given investment horizon. Check out Amlogic Shanghai Correlation, Amlogic Shanghai Volatility and Amlogic Shanghai Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Amlogic Shanghai.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Amlogic Shanghai's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Amlogic Shanghai is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amlogic Shanghai's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Amlogic Shanghai 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Amlogic Shanghai's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Amlogic Shanghai.
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11/18/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/18/2024
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If you would invest  0.00  in Amlogic Shanghai on November 18, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Amlogic Shanghai Co or generate 0.0% return on investment in Amlogic Shanghai over 30 days. Amlogic Shanghai is related to or competes with Zhejiang Daily, Hengdian Entertainment, HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY, Beijing Bashi, Qingdao Citymedia, Kuang Chi, and Western Superconducting. Amlogic Shanghai is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHG exchange. More

Amlogic Shanghai Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Amlogic Shanghai's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Amlogic Shanghai Co upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Amlogic Shanghai Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Amlogic Shanghai's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Amlogic Shanghai's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Amlogic Shanghai historical prices to predict the future Amlogic Shanghai's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
65.6170.9076.19
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Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
60.6565.9471.23
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Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Amlogic Shanghai. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Amlogic Shanghai's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Amlogic Shanghai's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Amlogic Shanghai.

Amlogic Shanghai Backtested Returns

Amlogic Shanghai appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Amlogic Shanghai secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.14, which signifies that the company had a 0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Amlogic Shanghai's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.73% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of Amlogic Shanghai's Mean Deviation of 3.35, downside deviation of 3.18, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0937 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Amlogic Shanghai holds a performance score of 10. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.13, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Amlogic Shanghai's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Amlogic Shanghai is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Amlogic Shanghai's coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, and the relationship between the downside deviation and standard deviation , to make a quick decision on whether Amlogic Shanghai's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.31  

Poor reverse predictability

Amlogic Shanghai Co has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Amlogic Shanghai time series from 18th of November 2024 to 3rd of December 2024 and 3rd of December 2024 to 18th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Amlogic Shanghai price movement. The serial correlation of -0.31 indicates that nearly 31.0% of current Amlogic Shanghai price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.31
Spearman Rank Test0.22
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance6.64

Amlogic Shanghai lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Amlogic Shanghai stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Amlogic Shanghai's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Amlogic Shanghai returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Amlogic Shanghai has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Amlogic Shanghai regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Amlogic Shanghai stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Amlogic Shanghai stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Amlogic Shanghai stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Amlogic Shanghai Lagged Returns

When evaluating Amlogic Shanghai's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Amlogic Shanghai stock have on its future price. Amlogic Shanghai autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Amlogic Shanghai autocorrelation shows the relationship between Amlogic Shanghai stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Amlogic Shanghai Co.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Amlogic Stock

Amlogic Shanghai financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amlogic Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amlogic with respect to the benefits of owning Amlogic Shanghai security.