Paychex Earnings Estimate

PAYX Stock  USD 147.25  1.38  0.93%   
The next projected EPS of Paychex is estimated to be 1.4796 with future projections ranging from a low of 1.46 to a high of 1.4941. Paychex's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 4.76. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Paychex is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
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Paychex is projected to generate 1.4796 in earnings per share on the 28th of February 2025. Paychex earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Paychex EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Paychex's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Paychex, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Paychex Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment

By analyzing Paychex's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Paychex's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes. Gross Profit is likely to rise to about 4.6 B in 2025, whereas Pretax Profit Margin is likely to drop 0.24 in 2025.
  
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Paychex. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing.
For more information on how to buy Paychex Stock please use our How to Invest in Paychex guide.

Paychex Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Paychex's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Paychex is estimated to be 1.4796 with the future projection ranging from a low of 1.46 to a high of 1.4941. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Paychex is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
1.14
1.46
Lowest
Expected EPS
1.4796
1.49
Highest

Paychex Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Paychex's value are higher than the current market price of the Paychex stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Paychex is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Paychex's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 28th of February 2025Current EPS (TTM)
1897.66%
1.14
1.4796
4.76

Paychex Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by Paychex analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge Paychex's stock performance. Investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only Paychex's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also comparing them to our different valuation methods.

Paychex Quarterly Gross Profit

937.8 Million

At this time, Paychex's Retained Earnings are fairly stable compared to the past year. Price Earnings Ratio is likely to rise to 40.47 in 2025, whereas Retained Earnings Total Equity is likely to drop slightly above 1.3 B in 2025. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to rise to about 1.9 B in 2025, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 300.6 M in 2025.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Paychex's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
146.33147.37148.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
129.04130.08161.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
145.38146.42147.46
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
125.53137.94153.12
Details
Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of Paychex assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards Paychex. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving Paychex's stock price in the short term.

Paychex Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Paychex refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Paychex predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Paychex, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Paychex Estimated Months Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Paychex, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Paychex should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Paychex Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Paychex's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2024-12-19
2024-11-301.131.140.01
2024-09-25
2024-08-311.141.1810.041
2024-06-26
2024-05-311.11.120.02
2024-04-02
2024-02-291.371.380.01
2023-12-21
2023-11-301.071.080.01
2023-09-27
2023-08-311.121.140.02
2023-06-29
2023-05-310.970.970.0
2023-03-29
2023-02-281.241.290.05
2022-12-22
2022-11-300.950.990.04
2022-09-28
2022-08-310.971.030.06
2022-06-29
2022-05-310.790.810.02
2022-03-30
2022-02-281.051.150.1
2021-12-22
2021-11-300.80.910.1113 
2021-09-30
2021-08-310.80.890.0911 
2021-06-25
2021-05-310.670.720.05
2021-04-06
2021-02-280.920.960.04
2020-12-23
2020-11-300.660.730.0710 
2020-10-06
2020-08-310.550.630.0814 
2020-07-07
2020-05-310.60.610.01
2020-03-25
2020-02-290.960.970.01
2019-12-18
2019-11-300.680.70.02
2019-10-02
2019-08-310.680.710.03
2019-06-26
2019-05-310.640.63-0.01
2019-03-27
2019-02-280.880.890.01
2018-12-19
2018-11-300.630.650.02
2018-10-02
2018-08-310.650.670.02
2018-06-27
2018-05-310.610.610.0
2018-03-26
2018-02-280.630.630.0
2017-12-21
2017-11-300.590.590.0
2017-10-03
2017-08-310.60.620.02
2017-06-28
2017-05-310.530.540.01
2017-03-29
2017-02-280.540.550.01
2016-12-21
2016-11-300.550.560.01
2016-09-28
2016-08-310.570.60.03
2016-06-30
2016-05-310.490.490.0
2016-03-30
2016-02-290.50.42-0.0816 
2015-12-22
2015-11-300.510.520.01
2015-09-30
2015-08-310.510.520.01
2015-07-01
2015-05-310.440.440.0
2015-03-25
2015-02-280.460.460.0
2014-12-19
2014-11-300.460.470.01
2014-09-24
2014-08-310.460.470.01
2014-07-01
2014-05-310.40.40.0
2014-03-26
2014-02-280.420.440.02
2013-12-18
2013-11-300.420.430.01
2013-09-30
2013-08-310.430.440.01
2013-06-26
2013-05-310.370.380.01
2013-03-27
2013-02-280.390.40.01
2012-12-19
2012-11-300.410.410.0
2012-09-24
2012-08-310.410.420.01
2012-06-27
2012-05-310.340.340.0
2012-03-28
2012-02-290.370.370.0
2011-12-20
2011-11-300.380.390.01
2011-09-27
2011-08-310.380.410.03
2011-06-22
2011-05-310.330.330.0
2011-03-23
2011-02-280.350.360.01
2010-12-20
2010-11-300.350.370.02
2010-09-27
2010-08-310.340.360.02
2010-06-23
2010-05-310.310.320.01
2010-03-24
2010-02-280.330.340.01
2009-12-16
2009-11-300.330.350.02
2009-09-23
2009-08-310.340.340.0
2009-06-24
2009-05-310.330.32-0.01
2009-03-25
2009-02-280.360.360.0
2008-12-17
2008-11-300.40.39-0.01
2008-09-24
2008-08-310.410.410.0
2008-06-26
2008-05-310.380.380.0
2008-03-26
2008-02-290.390.390.0
2007-12-19
2007-11-300.390.40.01
2007-09-26
2007-08-310.390.40.01
2007-06-27
2007-05-310.360.360.0
2007-03-28
2007-02-280.350.350.0
2006-12-20
2006-11-300.340.350.01
2006-09-26
2006-08-310.340.350.01
2006-06-28
2006-05-310.320.320.0
2006-03-28
2006-02-280.310.3-0.01
2005-12-21
2005-11-300.290.30.01
2005-09-27
2005-08-310.280.30.02
2005-06-27
2005-05-310.240.270.0312 
2005-03-21
2005-02-280.240.240.0
2004-12-21
2004-11-300.230.230.0
2004-09-21
2004-08-310.230.230.0
2004-06-24
2004-05-310.210.2-0.01
2004-03-18
2004-02-290.210.210.0
2003-12-18
2003-11-300.210.210.0
2003-09-23
2003-08-310.20.210.01
2003-06-24
2003-05-310.190.190.0
2003-03-20
2003-02-280.190.190.0
2002-12-19
2002-11-300.190.20.01
2002-09-18
2002-08-310.190.20.01
2002-06-25
2002-05-310.190.18-0.01
2002-03-19
2002-02-280.180.180.0
2001-12-19
2001-11-300.190.18-0.01
2001-09-20
2001-08-310.190.190.0
2001-06-25
2001-05-310.180.180.0
2001-03-19
2001-02-280.170.180.01
2000-12-20
2000-11-300.160.160.0
2000-09-20
2000-08-310.140.160.0214 
2000-06-26
2000-05-310.130.140.01
2000-03-16
2000-02-290.120.130.01
1999-12-16
1999-11-300.120.120.0
1999-09-16
1999-08-310.110.110.0
1999-06-29
1999-05-310.10.10.0
1999-03-17
1999-02-280.090.10.0111 
1998-12-15
1998-11-300.090.090.0
1998-09-15
1998-08-310.080.080.0
1998-06-30
1998-05-310.070.080.0114 
1998-03-17
1998-02-280.070.070.0
1997-12-18
1997-11-300.060.070.0116 
1997-09-16
1997-08-310.060.060.0
1997-06-30
1997-05-310.050.060.0120 
1997-03-17
1997-02-280.050.050.0
1996-12-16
1996-11-300.050.050.0
1996-09-18
1996-08-310.040.050.0125 
1996-07-02
1996-05-310.040.040.0
1996-03-15
1996-02-290.040.040.0

About Paychex Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of Paychex earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current Paychex estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as Paychex fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Retained Earnings2.5 B2.7 B
Retained Earnings Total Equity2.3 B1.3 B
Earnings Yield 0.04  0.03 
Price Earnings Ratio 29.45  40.47 
Price Earnings To Growth Ratio 3.44  3.61 

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Additional Tools for Paychex Stock Analysis

When running Paychex's price analysis, check to measure Paychex's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Paychex is operating at the current time. Most of Paychex's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Paychex's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Paychex's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Paychex to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.