Universal Insurance (Pakistan) Volatility

UVIC Stock   10.99  0.49  4.67%   
Universal Insurance appears to be slightly risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Universal Insurance owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.14, which indicates the firm had a 0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By inspecting Universal Insurance's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.63% is justified by implied risk. Please review Universal Insurance's Semi Deviation of 4.13, risk adjusted performance of 0.129, and Coefficient Of Variation of 658.99 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to Universal Insurance's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
30 Days Economic Sensitivity
Universal Insurance Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Universal daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Universal's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Universal Insurance volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Universal Insurance can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Universal Insurance at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Universal Insurance's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.

Moving together with Universal Stock

  0.93FFL Fauji FoodsPairCorr
  0.83KSBP KSB PumpsPairCorr
  0.76MARI Mari PetroleumPairCorr
  0.91LOADS LoadsPairCorr
  0.9THCCL Thatta CementPairCorr
  0.94KAPCO KOT Addu PowerPairCorr
  0.79REWM Reliance Weaving MillsPairCorr
  0.87AKBL Askari BankPairCorr

Universal Insurance Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Universal Insurance's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Universal stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Universal stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Universal Insurance's beta of -0.19 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Universal Insurance stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Universal Insurance exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Universal Insurance's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Universal Insurance's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Universal Insurance Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Universal Insurance correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Universal Beta

    
  -0.19  
Universal standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  4.53  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Universal Insurance's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Universal Insurance's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in universal stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Universal Insurance.

Universal Insurance Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Universal Insurance stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Universal Insurance's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Universal Insurance's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Universal Insurance's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Universal Insurance's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Universal Insurance's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Universal Insurance's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Universal Insurance's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Universal Insurance Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Universal Insurance Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Universal Insurance has a beta of -0.1904 . This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Universal Insurance are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Universal Insurance is likely to outperform the market.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Universal Insurance or Insurance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Universal Insurance's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Universal stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Universal Insurance has an alpha of 0.8303, implying that it can generate a 0.83 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Universal Insurance's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how universal stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives an Universal Insurance Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Universal Insurance Stock Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Universal Insurance is 714.94. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 20.5 and standard deviation of 4.53. The mean deviation of Universal Insurance is currently at 3.13. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.79
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.83
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.19
σ
Overall volatility
4.53
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Universal Insurance Stock Return Volatility

Universal Insurance historical daily return volatility represents how much of Universal Insurance stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company accepts 4.5272% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.8089% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Universal Insurance Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Universal Insurance or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Universal Insurance may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Universal's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Universal Insurance and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Universal Insurance fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.

3 ways to utilize Universal Insurance's volatility to invest better

Higher Universal Insurance's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Universal Insurance stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Universal Insurance stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Universal Insurance investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Universal Insurance's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Universal Insurance's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Universal Insurance Investment Opportunity

Universal Insurance has a volatility of 4.53 and is 5.59 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 40 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Universal Insurance. You can use Universal Insurance to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a very speculative upward sentiment. Check odds of Universal Insurance to be traded at 13.74 in 90 days.

Good diversification

The correlation between Universal Insurance and DJI is -0.03 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Universal Insurance and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Universal Insurance Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Universal Insurance's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Universal Insurance's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Universal Insurance stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Universal Insurance Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Universal Insurance as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Universal Insurance's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Universal Insurance's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Universal Insurance.

Complementary Tools for Universal Stock analysis

When running Universal Insurance's price analysis, check to measure Universal Insurance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Universal Insurance is operating at the current time. Most of Universal Insurance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Universal Insurance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Universal Insurance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Universal Insurance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Price Transformation
Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets
Cryptocurrency Center
Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency
Analyst Advice
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world