Sword Group (France) Volatility

Sword Group SE owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0842, which indicates the firm had a -0.0842 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Sword Group SE exposes fifteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Sword Group's Coefficient Of Variation of (1,188), risk adjusted performance of (0.07), and Variance of 1.88 to confirm the risk estimate we provide.
  
Sword Group Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Sword daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Sword's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Sword Group volatility.

Sword Group SE Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Sword Group stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Sword Group's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Sword Group's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Sword Group's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Sword Group's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Sword Group's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Sword Group's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Sword Group's to be redeemed at a future date.
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Sword Group Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sword Group has a beta of 0.5008 . This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sword Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sword Group SE will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Sword Group or Technology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Sword Group's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Sword stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Sword Group SE has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Sword Group's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how sword stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Sword Group Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Sword Group Stock Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Sword Group is -1188.13. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 1.88 and standard deviation of 1.37. The mean deviation of Sword Group SE is currently at 1.1. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.89
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.50
σ
Overall volatility
1.37
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Sword Group Stock Return Volatility

Sword Group historical daily return volatility represents how much of Sword Group stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company assumes 1.3712% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.8516% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Sword Group Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Sword Group or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Sword Group may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Sword's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Sword Group and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Sword Group fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Sword Group S.E. provides IT services and software in Europe, North America, the Oceania, and Asia. Sword Group S.E. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Luxembourg City, Luxembourg. SWORD GROUP operates under Software - Application classification in France and is traded on Paris Stock Exchange. It employs 1781 people.
Sword Group's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Sword Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Sword Group's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Sword Group's volatility to invest better

Higher Sword Group's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Sword Group SE stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Sword Group SE stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Sword Group SE investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Sword Group's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Sword Group's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Sword Group Investment Opportunity

Sword Group SE has a volatility of 1.37 and is 1.61 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 12 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Sword Group. You can use Sword Group SE to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a large bullish trend. Check odds of Sword Group to be traded at €35.48 in 90 days.

Weak diversification

The correlation between Sword Group SE and DJI is 0.33 (i.e., Weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Sword Group SE and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Sword Group Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sword Group's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sword Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Sword Group stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Sword Group Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Sword Group as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Sword Group's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Sword Group's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Sword Group SE.

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When running Sword Group's price analysis, check to measure Sword Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sword Group is operating at the current time. Most of Sword Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sword Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sword Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sword Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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