KCE EL (Germany) Volatility
NVPA Stock | EUR 0.63 0.07 12.50% |
KCE EL PCL has Sharpe Ratio of -0.23, which conveys that the company had a -0.23% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. KCE EL exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify KCE EL's Coefficient Of Variation of (463.14), standard deviation of 3.09, and Mean Deviation of 2.21 to check out the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to KCE EL's volatility include:
720 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 720 Days Economic Sensitivity |
KCE EL Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of KCE daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use KCE's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of KCE EL volatility.
KCE |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as KCE EL can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of KCE EL at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of KCE EL's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.
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Moving against KCE Stock
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KCE EL Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
KCE EL's beta coefficient measures the volatility of KCE stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents KCE stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, KCE EL's beta of 0.95 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk KCE EL stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. KCE EL PCL exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.08 and kurtosis of 4.44. KCE EL PCL is a potential penny stock. Although KCE EL may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in KCE EL PCL. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on KCE instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze KCE EL PCL Demand TrendCheck current 90 days KCE EL correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)KCE Beta |
KCE standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 3.05 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by KCE EL's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of KCE EL's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in kce stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in KCE EL.
KCE EL PCL Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which KCE EL stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with KCE EL's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of KCE EL's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of KCE EL's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures KCE EL's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict KCE EL's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for KCE EL's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on KCE EL's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. KCE EL PCL Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
KCE EL Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon KCE EL has a beta of 0.9544 . This indicates KCE EL PCL market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, KCE EL is expected to follow.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to KCE EL or Technology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that KCE EL's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a KCE stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
KCE EL PCL has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
Returns |
What Drives a KCE EL Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.KCE EL Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of KCE EL is -438.42. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 9.33 and standard deviation of 3.05. The mean deviation of KCE EL PCL is currently at 2.17. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.79
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.7 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.95 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
KCE EL Stock Return Volatility
KCE EL historical daily return volatility represents how much of KCE EL stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company assumes 3.0545% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.8045% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
Timeline |
About KCE EL Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of KCE EL or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of KCE EL may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to KCE's beta indicator, it measures the risk of KCE EL and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of KCE EL fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.KCE Electronics Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes electric printed circuit boards under the KCE trademark worldwide. KCE Electronics Public Company Limited was founded in 1982 and is based in Bangkok, Thailand. KCE Electronics operates under Contract Manufacturers classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange.
KCE EL's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on KCE Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much KCE EL's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize KCE EL's volatility to invest better
Higher KCE EL's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of KCE EL PCL stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. KCE EL PCL stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of KCE EL PCL investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in KCE EL's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of KCE EL's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
KCE EL Investment Opportunity
KCE EL PCL has a volatility of 3.05 and is 3.81 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of KCE EL PCL is lower than 27 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use KCE EL PCL to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a very speculative upward sentiment. Check odds of KCE EL to be traded at 0.7875 in 90 days.Modest diversification
The correlation between KCE EL PCL and DJI is 0.25 (i.e., Modest diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding KCE EL PCL and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
KCE EL Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of KCE EL's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in KCE EL's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of KCE EL stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.16) | |||
Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.70) | |||
Mean Deviation | 2.21 | |||
Coefficient Of Variation | (463.14) | |||
Standard Deviation | 3.09 | |||
Variance | 9.52 | |||
Information Ratio | (0.23) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
KCE EL Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against KCE EL as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. KCE EL's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, KCE EL's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to KCE EL PCL.
Complementary Tools for KCE Stock analysis
When running KCE EL's price analysis, check to measure KCE EL's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy KCE EL is operating at the current time. Most of KCE EL's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of KCE EL's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move KCE EL's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of KCE EL to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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