Npk International Stock Volatility
| NPKI Stock | 7.82 0.13 1.69% |
NPK International appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. NPK International has Sharpe Ratio of 0.1, which conveys that the firm had a 0.1 % return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for NPK International, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise NPK International's mean deviation of 1.71, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0583 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to NPK International's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
NPK International Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of NPK daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use NPK's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of NPK International volatility.
NPK |
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of NPK International at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase NPK stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower their average cost per share, thereby improving the overall portfolio performance when market normalizes.
Moving together with NPK Stock
| 0.75 | TS | Tenaris SA ADR | PairCorr |
| 0.61 | VTOL | Bristow Group | PairCorr |
| 0.67 | EFXT | Enerflex | PairCorr |
| 0.86 | WTTR | Select Energy Services | PairCorr |
| 0.67 | BKR | Baker Hughes Earnings Call Today | PairCorr |
Moving against NPK Stock
NPK International Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
NPK International's beta coefficient measures the volatility of NPK stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents NPK stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, NPK International's beta of 1.02 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk NPK International stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. NPK International currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.05 and Jensen Alpha of 0.12. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure NPK International's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact NPK International's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze NPK International Demand TrendCheck current 90 days NPK International correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)NPK Beta |
NPK standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 2.39 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by NPK International's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of NPK International's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in npk stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in NPK International.
Using NPK Put Option to Manage Risk
Put options written on NPK International grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of NPK International at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of NPK Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge NPK International's position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding NPK International will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.
NPK International's PUT expiring on 2025-03-21
Profit |
| NPK International Price At Expiration |
NPK International Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which NPK International stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with NPK International's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of NPK International's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of NPK International's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures NPK International's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict NPK International's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for NPK International's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on NPK International's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. NPK International Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
NPK International Projected Return Density Against Market
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.0239 . This indicates NPK International market returns are responsive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, NPK International is expected to follow.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to NPK International or Energy sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that NPK International's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a NPK stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
NPK International has an alpha of 0.1153, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a NPK International Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.NPK International Stock Risk Measures
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of NPK International is 974.72. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 5.7 and standard deviation of 2.39. The mean deviation of NPK International is currently at 1.73. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.84
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
NPK International Stock Return Volatility
NPK International historical daily return volatility represents how much of NPK International stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 2.3871% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.8471% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About NPK International Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of NPK International or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of NPK International may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to NPK's beta indicator, it measures the risk of NPK International and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of NPK International fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.3 ways to utilize NPK International's volatility to invest better
Higher NPK International's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of NPK International stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. NPK International stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of NPK International investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in NPK International's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of NPK International's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
NPK International Investment Opportunity
NPK International has a volatility of 2.39 and is 2.81 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 21 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than NPK International. You can use NPK International to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a large bullish trend. Check odds of NPK International to be traded at 8.6 in 90 days.Weak diversification
The correlation between NPK International and DJI is 0.37 (i.e., Weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding NPK International and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
NPK International Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of NPK International's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NPK International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of NPK International stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0583 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1423 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.71 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.88 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.04 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1610.56 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.34 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
NPK International Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against NPK International as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. NPK International's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, NPK International's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to NPK International.
Complementary Tools for NPK Stock analysis
When running NPK International's price analysis, check to measure NPK International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NPK International is operating at the current time. Most of NPK International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NPK International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NPK International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NPK International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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