NOV (Mexico) Volatility
| NOV Stock | MXN 322.44 0.00 0.00% |
At this stage we consider NOV Stock to be very steady. NOV Inc has Sharpe Ratio of 0.13, which conveys that the firm had a 0.13% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found sixteen technical indicators for NOV, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify NOV's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), market risk adjusted performance of 0.6517, and Mean Deviation of 0.0141 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0076%. Key indicators related to NOV's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
NOV Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of NOV daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use NOV's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of NOV volatility.
NOV |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as NOV can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of NOV at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase NOV stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of NOV's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving against NOV Stock
| 0.73 | LMT | Lockheed Martin | PairCorr |
| 0.49 | SLBN | Schlumberger Limited | PairCorr |
| 0.4 | SMSNN | Samsung Electronics | PairCorr |
| 0.33 | HAL | Halliburton | PairCorr |
NOV Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
NOV's beta coefficient measures the volatility of NOV stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents NOV stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, NOV's beta of -0.0044 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk NOV stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. NOV Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 8.12 and kurtosis of 66.0. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure NOV's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact NOV's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze NOV Inc Demand TrendCheck current 90 days NOV correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)NOV Beta |
NOV standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 0.0601 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by NOV's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of NOV's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in nov stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in NOV.
NOV Inc Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which NOV stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with NOV's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of NOV's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of NOV's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures NOV's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict NOV's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for NOV's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on NOV's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. NOV Inc Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
NOV Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NOV Inc has a beta of -0.0044 . This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding NOV are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, NOV Inc is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to NOV or Energy sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that NOV's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a NOV stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
NOV Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a NOV Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.NOV Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of NOV is 787.4. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.0 and standard deviation of 0.06. The mean deviation of NOV Inc is currently at 0.02. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.79
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0027 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0044 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.43 |
NOV Stock Return Volatility
NOV historical daily return volatility represents how much of NOV stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company assumes 0.0601% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7982% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About NOV Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of NOV or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of NOV may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to NOV's beta indicator, it measures the risk of NOV and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of NOV fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.National Oilwell Varco, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells systems, components, and products for oil and gas drilling and production worldwide. The company was founded in 1862 and is based in Houston, Texas. National Oilwell operates under Oil Gas Equipment Services classification in Mexico and is traded on Mexico Stock Exchange. It employs 34220 people.
NOV's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on NOV Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much NOV's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize NOV's volatility to invest better
Higher NOV's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of NOV Inc stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. NOV Inc stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of NOV Inc investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in NOV's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of NOV's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
NOV Investment Opportunity
Dow Jones Industrial has a standard deviation of returns of 0.8 and is 13.33 times more volatile than NOV Inc. 0 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than NOV. You can use NOV Inc to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a normal downward trend, but the immediate impact on correlations cannot be determined at the moment . Check odds of NOV to be traded at 319.22 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between NOV Inc and DJI is -0.06 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding NOV Inc and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
NOV Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of NOV's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NOV's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of NOV stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.6517 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.0141 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 812.4 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.0583 | |||
| Variance | 0.0034 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.43) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
NOV Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
| Morgan Stanley vs. NOV | ||
| Visa vs. NOV | ||
| GM vs. NOV | ||
| Ford vs. NOV | ||
| Citigroup vs. NOV | ||
| Armada Hflr vs. NOV | ||
| FrontView REIT, vs. NOV | ||
| Walgreens Boots vs. NOV | ||
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against NOV as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. NOV's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, NOV's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to NOV Inc.
Additional Tools for NOV Stock Analysis
When running NOV's price analysis, check to measure NOV's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NOV is operating at the current time. Most of NOV's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NOV's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NOV's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NOV to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.