Mercan Kimya (Turkey) Volatility

MERCN Stock   12.10  0.31  2.50%   
Mercan Kimya Sanayi has Sharpe Ratio of -0.037, which conveys that the firm had a -0.037% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Mercan Kimya exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Mercan Kimya's Standard Deviation of 2.45, risk adjusted performance of (0.04), and Mean Deviation of 1.71 to check out the risk estimate we provide.
  
Mercan Kimya Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Mercan daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Mercan's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Mercan Kimya volatility.
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Mercan Kimya at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Mercan stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower their average cost per share, thereby improving the overall portfolio performance when market normalizes.

Moving against Mercan Stock

  0.8GARAN Turkiye Garanti BankasiPairCorr
  0.75TRCAS Turcas Petrol ASPairCorr
  0.7KCHOL Koc Holding ASPairCorr
  0.69SASA SASA Polyester SanayiPairCorr
  0.65PENGD Penguen Gida SanayiPairCorr
  0.61EGEPO Nasmed Ozel SaglikPairCorr
  0.6EREGL Eregli Demir ve SplitPairCorr
  0.59KENT Kent Gida MaddeleriPairCorr
  0.59GENTS Gentas Genel MetalPairCorr

Mercan Kimya Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Mercan Kimya's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Mercan stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Mercan stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Mercan Kimya's beta of -0.32 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Mercan Kimya stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Mercan Kimya Sanayi exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.7 and kurtosis of 1.91. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Mercan Kimya's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Mercan Kimya's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Mercan Kimya Sanayi Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Mercan Kimya correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Mercan Beta

    
  -0.32  
Mercan standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  2.39  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Mercan Kimya's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Mercan Kimya's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in mercan stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Mercan Kimya.

Mercan Kimya Sanayi Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Mercan Kimya stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Mercan Kimya's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Mercan Kimya's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Mercan Kimya's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Mercan Kimya's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Mercan Kimya's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Mercan Kimya's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Mercan Kimya's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Mercan Kimya Sanayi Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Mercan Kimya Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mercan Kimya Sanayi has a beta of -0.3192 . This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mercan Kimya are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Mercan Kimya Sanayi is likely to outperform the market.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Mercan Kimya or Mercan sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Mercan Kimya's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Mercan stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Mercan Kimya Sanayi has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Mercan Kimya's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how mercan stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Mercan Kimya Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Mercan Kimya Stock Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Mercan Kimya is -2705.24. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 5.72 and standard deviation of 2.39. The mean deviation of Mercan Kimya Sanayi is currently at 1.65. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.79
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.32
σ
Overall volatility
2.39
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Mercan Kimya Stock Return Volatility

Mercan Kimya historical daily return volatility represents how much of Mercan Kimya stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm accepts 2.3908% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7982% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

Mercan Kimya Investment Opportunity

Mercan Kimya Sanayi has a volatility of 2.39 and is 2.99 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 21 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Mercan Kimya. You can use Mercan Kimya Sanayi to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences an unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. Check odds of Mercan Kimya to be traded at 11.62 in 90 days.

Good diversification

The correlation between Mercan Kimya Sanayi and DJI is -0.1 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Mercan Kimya Sanayi and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Mercan Kimya Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Mercan Kimya's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mercan Kimya's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Mercan Kimya stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Mercan Kimya Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Mercan Kimya as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Mercan Kimya's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Mercan Kimya's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Mercan Kimya Sanayi.

Complementary Tools for Mercan Stock analysis

When running Mercan Kimya's price analysis, check to measure Mercan Kimya's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mercan Kimya is operating at the current time. Most of Mercan Kimya's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mercan Kimya's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mercan Kimya's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mercan Kimya to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Funds Screener
Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges
Theme Ratings
Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
My Watchlist Analysis
Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like
Global Markets Map
Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data
Price Transformation
Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets
Fundamentals Comparison
Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities