Incannex Healthcare Ltd Stock Volatility
| IXHL Stock | USD 1.78 0.04 2.20% |
Incannex Healthcare appears to be dangerous, given 3 months investment horizon. Incannex Healthcare holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0424, which attests that the entity had a 0.0424% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Incannex Healthcare, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Incannex Healthcare's Downside Deviation of 6.08, market risk adjusted performance of 0.0455, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0149 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to Incannex Healthcare's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 90 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Incannex Healthcare Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Incannex daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Incannex's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Incannex Healthcare volatility.
Incannex |
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Incannex Healthcare at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Incannex stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower their average cost per share, thereby improving the overall portfolio performance when market normalizes.
Moving together with Incannex Stock
Moving against Incannex Stock
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Incannex Healthcare Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Incannex Healthcare's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Incannex stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Incannex stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Incannex Healthcare's beta of 1.05 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Incannex Healthcare stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Incannex Healthcare Ltd exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Incannex Healthcare's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Incannex Healthcare's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Incannex Healthcare Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Incannex Healthcare correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Incannex Beta |
Incannex standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 5.73 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Incannex Healthcare's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Incannex Healthcare's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in incannex stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Incannex Healthcare.
Incannex Healthcare Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Incannex Healthcare stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Incannex Healthcare's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Incannex Healthcare's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Incannex Healthcare's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Incannex Healthcare's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Incannex Healthcare's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Incannex Healthcare's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Incannex Healthcare's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Incannex Healthcare Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Incannex Healthcare Projected Return Density Against Market
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.0533 . This usually indicates Incannex Healthcare Ltd market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Incannex Healthcare is expected to follow.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Incannex Healthcare or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Incannex Healthcare's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Incannex stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Incannex Healthcare Ltd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives an Incannex Healthcare Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Incannex Healthcare Stock Risk Measures
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Incannex Healthcare is 2360.33. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 32.85 and standard deviation of 5.73. The mean deviation of Incannex Healthcare Ltd is currently at 3.96. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.77
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.73 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Incannex Healthcare Stock Return Volatility
Incannex Healthcare historical daily return volatility represents how much of Incannex Healthcare stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company inherits 5.7314% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7444% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Incannex Healthcare Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Incannex Healthcare or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Incannex Healthcare may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Incannex's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Incannex Healthcare and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Incannex Healthcare fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Selling And Marketing Expenses | 348 K | 629.8 K | |
| Market Cap | 47.7 M | 45.3 M |
Incannex Healthcare's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Incannex Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Incannex Healthcare's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Incannex Healthcare's volatility to invest better
Higher Incannex Healthcare's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Incannex Healthcare stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Incannex Healthcare stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Incannex Healthcare investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Incannex Healthcare's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Incannex Healthcare's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Incannex Healthcare Investment Opportunity
Incannex Healthcare Ltd has a volatility of 5.73 and is 7.74 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Incannex Healthcare Ltd is higher than 51 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Incannex Healthcare Ltd to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences an unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. Check odds of Incannex Healthcare to be traded at $1.7088 in 90 days.Average diversification
The correlation between Incannex Healthcare Ltd and DJI is 0.14 (i.e., Average diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Incannex Healthcare Ltd and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Incannex Healthcare Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Incannex Healthcare's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Incannex Healthcare's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Incannex Healthcare stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0149 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0455 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 4.08 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.38 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 6.08 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 12255.07 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.81 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Incannex Healthcare Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Incannex Healthcare as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Incannex Healthcare's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Incannex Healthcare's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Incannex Healthcare Ltd.
When determining whether Incannex Healthcare is a strong investment it is important to analyze Incannex Healthcare's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Incannex Healthcare's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Incannex Stock, refer to the following important reports: Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Incannex Healthcare Ltd. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Incannex Healthcare. If investors know Incannex will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Incannex Healthcare listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.36) | Revenue Per Share 0.001 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.296 | Return On Assets (0.57) | Return On Equity (1.15) |
The market value of Incannex Healthcare is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Incannex that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Incannex Healthcare's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Incannex Healthcare's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Incannex Healthcare's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Incannex Healthcare's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Incannex Healthcare's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Incannex Healthcare is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Incannex Healthcare's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.