Hedef Girisim (Turkey) Volatility

HDFGS Stock  TRY 1.57  0.02  1.29%   
Hedef Girisim is very risky at the moment. Hedef Girisim Sermayesi holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0295, which attests that the entity had a 0.0295% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Hedef Girisim Sermayesi, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out Hedef Girisim's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0294, downside deviation of 2.28, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.23) to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0603%. Key indicators related to Hedef Girisim's volatility include:
720 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
720 Days Economic Sensitivity
Hedef Girisim Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Hedef daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Hedef's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Hedef Girisim volatility.
  
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Hedef Girisim at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Hedef stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower their average cost per share, thereby improving the overall portfolio performance when market normalizes.

Moving together with Hedef Stock

  0.83ISFIN Is Finansal KiralamaPairCorr
  0.72SEKFK Seker Finansal KiralamaPairCorr
  0.92YGYO Yesil Gayrimenkul YatirimPairCorr
  0.81ZOREN Zorlu Enerji ElektrikPairCorr

Moving against Hedef Stock

  0.5KARSN Karsan Otomotiv SanayiPairCorr
  0.5EMNIS Eminis Ambalaj SanayiPairCorr

Hedef Girisim Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Hedef Girisim's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Hedef stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Hedef stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Hedef Girisim's beta of -0.21 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Hedef Girisim stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Hedef Girisim Sermayesi currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.01 and Jensen Alpha of 0.05. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Hedef Girisim's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Hedef Girisim's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Hedef Girisim Sermayesi Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Hedef Girisim correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Hedef Beta

    
  -0.21  
Hedef standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  2.05  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Hedef Girisim's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Hedef Girisim's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in hedef stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Hedef Girisim.

Hedef Girisim Sermayesi Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Hedef Girisim stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Hedef Girisim's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Hedef Girisim's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Hedef Girisim's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Hedef Girisim's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Hedef Girisim's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Hedef Girisim's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Hedef Girisim's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Hedef Girisim Sermayesi Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Hedef Girisim Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hedef Girisim Sermayesi has a beta of -0.2072 . This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Hedef Girisim are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Hedef Girisim Sermayesi is likely to outperform the market.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Hedef Girisim or Capital Markets sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Hedef Girisim's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Hedef stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Hedef Girisim Sermayesi has an alpha of 0.0539, implying that it can generate a 0.0539 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Hedef Girisim's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how hedef stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Hedef Girisim Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Hedef Girisim Stock Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Hedef Girisim is 3395.47. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 4.19 and standard deviation of 2.05. The mean deviation of Hedef Girisim Sermayesi is currently at 1.47. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.8
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.21
σ
Overall volatility
2.05
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Hedef Girisim Stock Return Volatility

Hedef Girisim historical daily return volatility represents how much of Hedef Girisim stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm accepts 2.0461% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.8025% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Hedef Girisim Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Hedef Girisim or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Hedef Girisim may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Hedef's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Hedef Girisim and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Hedef Girisim fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Hedef Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. is a venture capital and private equity firm specializing in middle market and growth capital investments. Hedef Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. is based in Istanbul, Turkey. HEDEF GIRISIM operates under Asset Management classification in Turkey and is traded on Istanbul Stock Exchange. It employs 12 people.
Hedef Girisim's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Hedef Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Hedef Girisim's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Hedef Girisim's volatility to invest better

Higher Hedef Girisim's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Hedef Girisim Sermayesi stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Hedef Girisim Sermayesi stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Hedef Girisim Sermayesi investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Hedef Girisim's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Hedef Girisim's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Hedef Girisim Investment Opportunity

Hedef Girisim Sermayesi has a volatility of 2.05 and is 2.56 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 18 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Hedef Girisim. You can use Hedef Girisim Sermayesi to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a large bullish trend. Check odds of Hedef Girisim to be traded at 1.727 in 90 days.

Good diversification

The correlation between Hedef Girisim Sermayesi and DJI is -0.08 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Hedef Girisim Sermayesi and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Hedef Girisim Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hedef Girisim's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hedef Girisim's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Hedef Girisim stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Hedef Girisim Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Hedef Girisim as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Hedef Girisim's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Hedef Girisim's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Hedef Girisim Sermayesi.

Complementary Tools for Hedef Stock analysis

When running Hedef Girisim's price analysis, check to measure Hedef Girisim's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hedef Girisim is operating at the current time. Most of Hedef Girisim's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hedef Girisim's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hedef Girisim's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hedef Girisim to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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