Conifer Holdings Senior Volatility
CNFRLDelisted Stock | USD 22.03 0.01 0.05% |
We have found twenty-three technical indicators for Conifer Holdings Senior, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Conifer Holdings' Mean Deviation of 1.07, risk adjusted performance of (0.02), and Standard Deviation of 1.57 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0%. Key indicators related to Conifer Holdings' volatility include:
180 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 180 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Conifer Holdings Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Conifer daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Conifer's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Conifer Holdings volatility.
Conifer |
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Conifer Holdings at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Conifer stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower their average cost per share, thereby improving the overall portfolio performance when market normalizes.
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Conifer Holdings Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Conifer Holdings' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Conifer stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Conifer stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Conifer Holdings's beta of -0.0341 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Conifer Holdings stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Conifer Holdings Senior exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.1 and kurtosis of 3.1. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Conifer Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Conifer Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Conifer Holdings Senior Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Conifer Holdings correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Conifer Beta |
Conifer standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 0.0 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Conifer Holdings's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Conifer Holdings' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in conifer stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Conifer Holdings.
Conifer Holdings Senior Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Conifer Holdings delisted stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Conifer Holdings' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Conifer Holdings' stock to predict their future moves. A delisted stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile delisted stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Conifer Holdings' volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of delisted stock volatility measures Conifer Holdings' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Conifer Holdings' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Conifer Holdings' current market price. This means that the delisted stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Conifer Holdings' to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
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Conifer Holdings Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days horizon Conifer Holdings Senior has a beta of -0.0341 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Conifer Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Conifer Holdings Senior is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Conifer Holdings or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Conifer Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Conifer delisted stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Conifer Holdings Senior has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
Returns |
What Drives a Conifer Holdings Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a delisted stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Conifer Holdings Stock Return Volatility
Conifer Holdings historical daily return volatility represents how much of Conifer Holdings delisted stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 0.0% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.8088% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
Timeline |
About Conifer Holdings Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Conifer Holdings or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Conifer Holdings may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Conifer's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Conifer Holdings and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Conifer Holdings fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.3 ways to utilize Conifer Holdings' volatility to invest better
Higher Conifer Holdings' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Conifer Holdings Senior stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Conifer Holdings Senior stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Conifer Holdings Senior investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Conifer Holdings' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Conifer Holdings' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Conifer Holdings Investment Opportunity
Dow Jones Industrial has a standard deviation of returns of 0.81 and is 9.223372036854776E16 times more volatile than Conifer Holdings Senior. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Conifer Holdings Senior is lower than 0 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Conifer Holdings Senior to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a normal upward fluctuation. Check odds of Conifer Holdings to be traded at $23.13 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between Conifer Holdings Senior and DJI is -0.02 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Conifer Holdings Senior and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Conifer Holdings Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Conifer Holdings' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Conifer Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Conifer Holdings stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 1.84 | |||
Mean Deviation | 1.07 | |||
Coefficient Of Variation | (2,995) | |||
Standard Deviation | 1.57 | |||
Variance | 2.47 | |||
Information Ratio | (0.05) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar delisted stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Conifer Holdings Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Conifer Holdings as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Conifer Holdings' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Conifer Holdings' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Conifer Holdings Senior.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Other Consideration for investing in Conifer Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Conifer Holdings Senior check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Conifer Holdings' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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