Userjoy Technology (Taiwan) Volatility
| 3546 Stock | TWD 77.40 0.10 0.13% |
Userjoy Technology owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0491, which indicates the firm had a -0.0491% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Userjoy Technology Co exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Userjoy Technology's Coefficient Of Variation of (1,156), risk adjusted performance of (0.07), and Variance of 0.4387 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Userjoy Technology's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 90 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Userjoy Technology Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Userjoy daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Userjoy's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Userjoy Technology volatility.
Userjoy |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Userjoy Technology can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Userjoy Technology at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Userjoy stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Userjoy Technology's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Userjoy Technology Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Userjoy Technology's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Userjoy stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Userjoy stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Userjoy Technology's beta of 0.13 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Userjoy Technology stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Userjoy Technology Co exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.02 and kurtosis of 0.75. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Userjoy Technology's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Userjoy Technology's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Userjoy Technology Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Userjoy Technology correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Userjoy Beta |
Userjoy standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 0.62 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Userjoy Technology's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Userjoy Technology's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in userjoy stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Userjoy Technology.
Userjoy Technology Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Userjoy Technology stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Userjoy Technology's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Userjoy Technology's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Userjoy Technology's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Userjoy Technology's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Userjoy Technology's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Userjoy Technology's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Userjoy Technology's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Userjoy Technology Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Userjoy Technology Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Userjoy Technology has a beta of 0.1295 . This suggests as returns on the market go up, Userjoy Technology average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Userjoy Technology Co will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Userjoy Technology or Entertainment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Userjoy Technology's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Userjoy stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Userjoy Technology Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives an Userjoy Technology Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Userjoy Technology Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Userjoy Technology is -2037.44. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.39 and standard deviation of 0.62. The mean deviation of Userjoy Technology Co is currently at 0.44. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.26 |
Userjoy Technology Stock Return Volatility
Userjoy Technology historical daily return volatility represents how much of Userjoy Technology stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The venture accepts 0.6226% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7454% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Userjoy Technology Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Userjoy Technology or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Userjoy Technology may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Userjoy's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Userjoy Technology and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Userjoy Technology fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.USERJOY Technology Co., Ltd. researches, develops, and sells online and mobile games software in Taiwan and internationally. The company was founded in 1995 and is based in New Taipei City, Taiwan. USERJOY TECHONOLOGY is traded on Taiwan OTC Exchange in Taiwan.
Userjoy Technology's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Userjoy Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Userjoy Technology's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Userjoy Technology's volatility to invest better
Higher Userjoy Technology's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Userjoy Technology stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Userjoy Technology stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Userjoy Technology investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Userjoy Technology's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Userjoy Technology's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Userjoy Technology Investment Opportunity
Dow Jones Industrial has a standard deviation of returns of 0.75 and is 1.21 times more volatile than Userjoy Technology Co. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Userjoy Technology Co is lower than 5 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Userjoy Technology Co to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a normal downward trend and little activity. Check odds of Userjoy Technology to be traded at NT$76.63 in 90 days.Average diversification
The correlation between Userjoy Technology Co and DJI is 0.15 (i.e., Average diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Userjoy Technology Co and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Userjoy Technology Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Userjoy Technology's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Userjoy Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Userjoy Technology stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.07) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.51) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.4854 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (1,156) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.6624 | |||
| Variance | 0.4387 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.26) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Userjoy Technology Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Userjoy Technology as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Userjoy Technology's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Userjoy Technology's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Userjoy Technology Co.
Additional Tools for Userjoy Stock Analysis
When running Userjoy Technology's price analysis, check to measure Userjoy Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Userjoy Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Userjoy Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Userjoy Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Userjoy Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Userjoy Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.