Triumph Valuation

TGI Stock  USD 25.29  0.01  0.04%   
At this time, the company appears to be undervalued. Triumph Group has a current Real Value of $27.51 per share. The regular price of the company is $25.29. Our model measures the value of Triumph Group from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 2.79 B, shares owned by insiders of 2.21 %, and Return On Asset of 0.0591 as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Triumph's valuation include:
Enterprise Value
2.8 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
20.1833
Price Sales
1.576
Forward PE
14.7275
Trailing PE
133.1579
Undervalued
Today
25.29
Please note that Triumph's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of Triumph Group is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Triumph's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Triumph is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Triumph Stock. However, Triumph's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  25.29 Real  27.51 Target  18.7 Hype  25.3 Naive  23.47
The intrinsic value of Triumph's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Triumph's stock price.
27.51
Real Value
32.15
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Triumph Group helps investors to forecast how Triumph stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Triumph more accurately as focusing exclusively on Triumph's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.160.190.23
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.6625.3029.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
18.8323.4728.10
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
17.0218.7020.76
Details
When choosing an evaluation method for Triumph Group, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using all methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Triumph Cash

473.96 Million

Triumph Valuation Trend

Triumph's real value analysis enables investors to forecast the earnings more efficiently. Using both Triumph's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to gauging the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

Triumph Revenue by Product

Triumph Total Value Analysis

Triumph Group is at this time forecasted to have company total value of 2.79 B with market capitalization of 1.96 B, debt of 1.09 B, and cash on hands of 227.4 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Triumph fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
2.79 B
1.96 B
1.09 B
227.4 M

Triumph Investor Information

About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.2. Triumph Group last dividend was issued on the 28th of February 2020. The entity had 2:1 split on the 15th of July 2011. Triumph Group may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average chance of going through some form of financial crunch next quarter.

Triumph Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Triumph has an asset utilization ratio of 70.69 percent. This signifies that the Company is making $0.71 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Triumph Group is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
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Triumph Ownership Allocation

The majority of Triumph Group outstanding shares are owned by institutional holders. These institutional investors are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to take positions in Triumph to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutions are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Triumph Group. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Triumph Group as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company.

Triumph Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.19 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (34.47 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 379.19 M.

About Triumph Valuation

An absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to Triumph Stock, attempts to find the value of Triumph Group based on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Triumph's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Triumph's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Triumph. We calculate exposure to Triumph's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Triumph's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit371.3 M400.6 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.03)(0.03)
Operating Profit Margin 0.08  0.09 
Net Profit Margin 0.49  0.52 
Gross Profit Margin 0.31  0.28 

Triumph Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding74.1 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.307
Forward Price Earnings14.7275

Triumph Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Triumph Group and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Triumph we look at many different elements of the entity such as Triumph's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Triumph, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Triumph's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Triumph's worth.

Complementary Tools for Triumph Stock analysis

When running Triumph's price analysis, check to measure Triumph's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Triumph is operating at the current time. Most of Triumph's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Triumph's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Triumph's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Triumph to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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