SM Energy Valuation

SM Stock  USD 30.30  0.04  0.13%   
At this time, the company appears to be undervalued. SM Energy owns a latest Real Value of $35.55 per share. The recent price of the company is $30.3. Our model measures the value of SM Energy from examining the company fundamentals such as Profit Margin of 0.30 %, return on equity of 0.2, and Current Valuation of 6.21 B as well as evaluating its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting SM Energy's valuation include:
Price Book
0.8101
Enterprise Value
6.2 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
3.2405
Price Sales
1.3455
Forward PE
4.3649
Undervalued
Today
30.30
Please note that SM Energy's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of SM Energy is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing SM Energy's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the SM Energy stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of SM Energy Co. Since SM Energy is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of SM Energy Stock. However, SM Energy's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  30.3 Real  35.55 Target  53.13 Hype  29.47 Naive  31.01
The intrinsic value of SM Energy's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence SM Energy's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
35.55
Real Value
38.25
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of SM Energy Co helps investors to forecast how SM Energy stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of SM Energy more accurately as focusing exclusively on SM Energy's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.982.031.94
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.7729.4732.17
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.440.460.48
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
48.3553.1358.98
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use SM Energy's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of SM Energy's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against SM Energy's closest peers.

SM Energy Cash

0.0

SM Energy Valuation Trend

Knowing SM Energy's actual value is paramount for traders when making sound investment determinations. Using both SM Energy's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to estimate the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

SM Energy Total Value Analysis

SM Energy Co is at this time expected to have takeover value of 6.21 B with market capitalization of 3.46 B, debt of 2.71 B, and cash on hands of 445 M. Please note that takeover value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting mistakes. We encourage investors to methodically examine all of the SM Energy fundamentals before making investment evaluation based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
6.21 B
3.46 B
2.71 B
445 M

SM Energy Investor Information

About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.81. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. SM Energy has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.55. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.67. The firm last dividend was issued on the 24th of January 2025. SM Energy had 2:1 split on the 1st of April 2005. Based on the key measurements obtained from SM Energy's financial statements, SM Energy Co may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average risk of going through some form of financial distress next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities1.9 B1.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

SM Energy Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. SM Energy has an asset utilization ratio of 31.15 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.31 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that SM Energy Co is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
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Covid

SM Energy Ownership Allocation

The majority of SM Energy outstanding shares are owned by institutions. These other corporate entities are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to take positions in SM Energy Co to benefit from reduced commissions. Hence, outside corporations are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in SM Energy. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of SM Energy as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company.

SM Energy Profitability Analysis

The company generated the yearly revenue of 2.67 B. Reported Net Income was 770.29 M with gross profit of 2.09 B.

SM Energy Past Distributions to stockholders

About SM Energy Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of SM Energy Co. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of SM Energy based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing SM Energy's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of SM Energy's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of SM Energy. We calculate exposure to SM Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of SM Energy's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit1.2 B1.3 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.36  0.38 
Operating Profit Margin 0.40  0.21 
Net Profit Margin 0.29  0.30 
Gross Profit Margin 0.46  0.56 
SM Energy's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether SM Energy's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of SM Energy can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of SM Energy represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of SM Energy, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

SM Energy Dividends Analysis For Valuation

As of the 19th of March 2025, Dividends Paid is likely to grow to about 89.3 M, while Dividend Yield is likely to drop 0.01. . At this time, SM Energy's Retained Earnings are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 19th of March 2025, Earnings Yield is likely to grow to 0.18, while Retained Earnings Total Equity is likely to drop about 846.1 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid85 M89.3 M
Dividend Yield 0.02  0.01 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.11  0.09 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 1.28  0.76 
There are various types of dividends SM Energy can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of SM Energy shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from SM Energy Co directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When SM Energy pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of SM Energy by the value of the dividends paid out.

SM Energy Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as SM Energy does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding115.5 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.227
Forward Price Earnings4.3649

SM Energy Current Valuation Indicators

SM Energy's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final SM Energy's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as SM Energy, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use SM Energy's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes SM Energy's worth.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in SM Energy Co. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
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Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SM Energy. If investors know SM Energy will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SM Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.23)
Dividend Share
0.76
Earnings Share
6.67
Revenue Per Share
22.432
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.408
The market value of SM Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SM Energy that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SM Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SM Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SM Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SM Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SM Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SM Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SM Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.