Penn National Valuation

PENN Stock  USD 21.59  0.51  2.42%   
At this time, the company appears to be undervalued. Penn National Gaming holds a recent Real Value of $25.83 per share. The prevailing price of the company is $21.59. Our model determines the value of Penn National Gaming from analyzing the company fundamentals such as Return On Equity of -0.16, operating margin of 0.04 %, and Shares Outstanding of 152.16 M as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Penn National's valuation include:
Price Book
1.0498
Enterprise Value
13.7 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
43.7993
Price Sales
0.5227
Forward PE
28.6533
Undervalued
Today
21.59
Please note that Penn National's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Penn National Gaming is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Penn National's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Penn National is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Penn Stock. However, Penn National's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  21.59 Real  25.83 Target  31.06 Hype  21.77 Naive  21.82
The intrinsic value of Penn National's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Penn National's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
25.83
Real Value
28.44
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Penn National Gaming helps investors to forecast how Penn stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Penn National more accurately as focusing exclusively on Penn National's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
-0.41-0.37-0.31
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.1621.7724.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
19.2121.8224.43
Details
20 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
28.2631.0634.48
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Penn National's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Penn National's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Penn National's closest peers.

Penn National Cash

1.13 Billion

Penn Valuation Trend

Knowing Penn National's actual value is paramount for traders when making sound investment determinations. Using both Penn National's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to estimate the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

Penn Revenue by Product

Penn National Total Value Analysis

Penn National Gaming is at this time estimated to have valuation of 13.7 B with market capitalization of 3.3 B, debt of 11.54 B, and cash on hands of 1.71 B. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Penn National fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
13.7 B
3.3 B
11.54 B
1.71 B

Penn National Investor Information

About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.05. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Penn National Gaming has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.78. The entity recorded a loss per share of 3.52. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Penn National had 4423:1000 split on the 4th of November 2013. Based on the analysis of Penn National's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Penn National Gaming is not in a good financial situation at the present time. It has a very high chance of going through financial crunch in December.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities333 M455.9 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile

Penn National Asset Utilization

The concept of asset utilization usually refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. The recent return on assets of Penn suggests not a very effective usage of assets in November.
 
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Covid

Penn National Ownership Allocation

Penn National owns a total of 152.16 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Penn National Gaming outstanding shares are owned by third-party entities. These institutional holders are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to secure positions in Penn National Gaming to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Penn National. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Penn National Gaming as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Also note that almost eight hundred fifty-two thousand ninety-six invesors are currently shorting Penn National expressing very little confidence in its future performance.

Penn National Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 6.36 B. Net Loss for the year was (490 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.02 B.

About Penn National Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Penn National Gaming. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Penn National Gaming based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Penn National's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Penn National's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Penn National. We calculate exposure to Penn National's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Penn National's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit1.9 BB
Pretax Profit Margin(0.08)(0.07)
Operating Profit Margin 0.06  0.05 
Net Loss(0.08)(0.07)
Gross Profit Margin 0.30  0.33 

Penn National Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding152.1 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y2.089
Forward Price Earnings28.6533

Penn National Current Valuation Indicators

Penn National's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Penn National's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Penn National, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Penn National's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Penn National's worth.
When determining whether Penn National Gaming offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Penn National's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Penn National Gaming Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Penn National Gaming Stock:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Penn National Gaming. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
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Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Penn National. If investors know Penn will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Penn National listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.089
Earnings Share
(3.52)
Revenue Per Share
41.491
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.012
Return On Assets
(0.0008)
The market value of Penn National Gaming is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Penn that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Penn National's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Penn National's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Penn National's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Penn National's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Penn National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Penn National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Penn National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.