Penn National Gaming Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| PENN Stock | USD 17.09 0.86 5.30% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Penn National Gaming is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Penn National's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Penn National Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Penn and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Penn National Gaming. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Penn |
Execute Penn National Buy or Sell Advice
The Penn recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Penn National Gaming. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Penn National Gaming or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Penn National's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Penn National Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Penn National Gaming generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Penn National Gaming has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 6.58 B. Net Loss for the year was (313.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.6 B. | |
| Penn National Gaming has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Casino Operator Stocks Q4 Highlights Caesars Entertainment |
Penn National Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Penn National's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Penn National's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Penn National daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Penn National Gaming price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Penn National returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Penn National.
| Mean Return | -0.24 | Value At Risk | -4.78 | Potential Upside | 4.92 | Standard Deviation | 3.15 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Penn National historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Penn Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Penn National, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Penn National Gaming back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 2.6 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 2.5 M | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-12-31 | 2.1 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-12-31 | 1.9 M | Sei Investments Co | 2024-12-31 | 1.8 M | Kettle Hill Capital Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 1.8 M | Contrarius Group Holdings Ltd | 2024-12-31 | 1.8 M | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 1.7 M | Royal Bank Of Canada | 2024-12-31 | 1.6 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 18.3 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 16.4 M |
Penn National Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 1.4B | 9.7M | (235.9M) | (549.7M) | (370.7M) | (352.2M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 197M | 627.8M | 605.8M | 74M | (123.4M) | (117.2M) | |
| Depreciation | 366.7M | 344.5M | 567.5M | 435.1M | 433.6M | 455.3M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 919.3M | 189.9M | 343M | 848.2M | 561M | 589.1M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 141.8M | 268.3M | 272.4M | 360M | 482.7M | 506.8M | |
| Net Income | (669.1M) | 420.5M | 221.7M | (490M) | (313.3M) | (297.6M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 1.9B | 1.9B | 1.6B | 1.1B | 723.8M | 427.8M | |
| Change To Inventory | (88M) | (118.7M) | 13.1M | (257M) | (231.3M) | (219.7M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 222.2M | 498.5M | 197.4M | 81.6M | 93.8M | 130.0M | |
| Investments | (135M) | (27.4M) | (258.6M) | (664.6M) | (541.2M) | (514.1M) | |
| Change Receivables | 27M | (16.5M) | (85M) | (68.1M) | (61.3M) | (58.2M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 9.3M | 157.9M | 291M | (1.6B) | (1.4B) | (1.4B) |
Penn National Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Penn National or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Penn National's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Penn stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Penn National Volatility Alert
Penn National Gaming exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.12 and kurtosis of -0.21. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Penn National's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Penn National's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Penn National Implied Volatility
Penn National's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Penn National Gaming stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Penn National's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Penn National stock will not fluctuate a lot when Penn National's options are near their expiration.
Penn National Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Penn National's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Penn National's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Penn National and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Penn National or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Penn National's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Penn National by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Penn National to competition |
| Fundamentals | Penn National | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.1 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0065 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.05) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.02 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 13.15 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 152.57 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.20 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 96.91 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 16.36 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 24.42 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.91 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.40 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 6.58 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 2.6 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 562.8 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (313.3 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.71 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 10.93 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 8.47 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 3.45 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.90 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 19.45 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 359.3 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.91 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (2.05) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.78 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 23.53 | |
| Number Of Employees | 23.12 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.19 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.61 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 15.26 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (647 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (260.7 M) | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 83157 shares by Jay Snowden of Penn National at 16.93 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Penn National Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Penn . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Penn National Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Penn National Gaming? Buying financial instruments such as Penn Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Penn National in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Cannabis Thematic Idea Now
Cannabis
Equities that are involved in production and delivery of legal cannabis. This theme is designed for investors that are willing to accept higher levels of market risk inherited by cannabis production and distribution globally. The Cannabis theme has 27 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Cannabis Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
| View All Next | Launch |
Check out Penn National Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Penn National. If investors know Penn will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Penn National listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.089 | Earnings Share (2.05) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.196 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Penn National Gaming is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Penn that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Penn National's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Penn National's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Penn National's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Penn National's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Penn National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Penn National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Penn National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.