Optex Systems Valuation

OPXS Stock  USD 8.97  0.03  0.34%   
At this time, the company appears to be overvalued. Optex Systems Holdings, holds a recent Real Value of $7.45 per share. The prevailing price of the company is $8.97. Our model determines the value of Optex Systems Holdings, from analyzing the company fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.27, shares outstanding of 6.87 M, and Operating Margin of 0.18 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Optex Systems' valuation include:
Price Book
3.4655
Enterprise Value
64.5 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
11.3978
Price Sales
1.8832
Trailing PE
14.6557
Overvalued
Today
8.97
Please note that Optex Systems' price fluctuation is slightly risky at this time. Calculation of the real value of Optex Systems Holdings, is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Optex Systems' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Optex stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Optex Systems Holdings,. Since Optex Systems is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Optex Stock. However, Optex Systems' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  8.97 Real  7.45 Hype  9.13 Naive  9.81
The intrinsic value of Optex Systems' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Optex Systems' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
7.45
Real Value
11.30
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Optex Systems Holdings, helps investors to forecast how Optex stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Optex Systems more accurately as focusing exclusively on Optex Systems' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.808.609.40
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.289.1312.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
5.969.8113.65
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Optex Systems' intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Optex Systems' financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Optex Systems' closest peers.

Optex Systems Cash

1.57 Million

Optex Valuation Trend

Optex Systems' real value is important for investors to make better decisions and a more accurate overall view of Optex Systems' financial worth over time. Using both Optex Systems' enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to gauge the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing conclusions.

Optex Systems Total Value Analysis

Optex Systems Holdings, is now anticipated to have valuation of 64.49 M with market capitalization of 61.45 M, debt of 3.9 M, and cash on hands of 5.17 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Optex Systems fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
64.49 M
61.45 M
3.9 M
5.17 M

Optex Systems Investor Information

About 26.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Optex Systems was now reported as 2.6. The company last dividend was issued on the 11th of April 2018. Optex Systems Holdings, had 1:1000 split on the 7th of October 2015. Based on the key indicators related to Optex Systems' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Optex Systems Holdings, may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average chance of going through some form of financial crunch next quarter.

Optex Systems Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Optex Systems has an asset utilization ratio of 115.48 percent. This implies that the Company is making $1.15 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Optex Systems Holdings, is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid

Optex Systems Ownership Allocation

The market capitalization of Optex Systems Holdings, is $61.45 Million. Optex Systems has significant amount of outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a CEO, other corporate executive, director, or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. Please take into account that even companies with profitable outlook can generate negative future returns on their equity. If the true value of the company is less than the current market value, you may not be able generate positive returns on investment in the long run.

Optex Systems Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 25.66 M. Net Income was 2.26 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.9 M.

About Optex Systems Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Optex Systems' current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Optex Systems Holdings, based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Optex Systems. We calculate exposure to Optex Systems's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Optex Systems's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit7.6 MM
Pretax Profit Margin(0.24)(0.23)
Gross Profit Margin 0.09  0.14 

Optex Systems Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Optex Systems does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.7 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y1.076

Optex Systems Current Valuation Indicators

Optex Systems' valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Optex Systems' valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Optex Systems, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Optex Systems' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Optex Systems' worth.

Additional Tools for Optex Stock Analysis

When running Optex Systems' price analysis, check to measure Optex Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Optex Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Optex Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Optex Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Optex Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Optex Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.