Optex Systems Holdings, Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| OPXS Stock | USD 8.90 0.07 0.78% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Optex Systems Holdings, is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Optex Systems Holdings, given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Optex Systems. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Optex Systems Holdings,, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Optex Systems Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Optex and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Optex Systems Holdings,. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in interest.
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Execute Optex Systems Buy or Sell Advice
The Optex recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Optex Systems Holdings,. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Optex Systems Holdings, or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Optex Systems' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Slightly risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Optex Systems Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Optex Systems had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Optex Systems Holdings, currently holds about 5.17 M in cash with (296 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.63. | |
| Optex Systems has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 26.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is Now The Time To Put Optex Systems Holdings On Your Watchlist |
Optex Systems Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Optex Systems' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Optex Systems' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Optex Systems daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Optex Systems Holdings, price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Optex Systems returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Optex Systems.
| Mean Return | 0.22 | Value At Risk | -4.78 | Potential Upside | 7.50 | Standard Deviation | 3.79 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Optex Systems historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Optex Systems Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 3.6M | (800K) | (3.0M) | 270K | 243K | 255.2K | |
| Free Cash Flow | 3.8M | 207K | 1.8M | (672K) | (772.8K) | (734.2K) | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 508K | (2.5M) | 21K | 20K | 18K | 17.1K | |
| Capital Expenditures | 152K | 274K | 257K | 376K | 432.4K | 264.2K | |
| Net Income | 1.8M | 2.1M | 1.3M | 2.3M | 2.6M | 2.7M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 4.7M | 3.9M | 934K | 1.2M | 1.4M | 1.6M | |
| Depreciation | 340K | 248K | 263K | 307K | 310.5K | 377.5K | |
| Change To Inventory | 1.7M | 1.2M | (1.6M) | (2.9M) | (2.6M) | (2.5M) | |
| Change To Netincome | (2.7M) | 892K | (2.4M) | 529K | 476.1K | 499.9K | |
| Investments | (152K) | (274K) | (257K) | (376K) | (338.4K) | (321.5K) |
Optex Systems Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Optex Systems or Aerospace & Defense sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Optex Systems' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Optex stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.86 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Optex Systems Volatility Alert
Optex Systems Holdings, shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Optex Systems' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Optex Systems' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Optex Systems Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Optex Systems' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Optex Systems' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Optex Systems and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Optex Systems or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Optex Systems' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Optex Systems by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Optex Systems to competition |
| Fundamentals | Optex Systems | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.27 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.14 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.13 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.18 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 64.21 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 6.87 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 25.81 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 33.16 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.41 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 9.97 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 3.45 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.89 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 25.66 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 4.9 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 3.13 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 2.26 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 5.17 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.63 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 3.9 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.22 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 5.97 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 2.60 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (296 K) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.05 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.61 X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 122 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.27 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 61.65 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 22.22 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (6.43 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 13.46 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 9.06 M | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 3.01 M | 7.9 B |
Note: Acquisition by Fields Ephraim G of 24000 shares of Optex Systems at 1.46 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Optex Systems Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Optex . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Optex Systems Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Optex Systems Holdings,? Buying financial instruments such as Optex Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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In addition to having Optex Systems in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Additional Tools for Optex Stock Analysis
When running Optex Systems' price analysis, check to measure Optex Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Optex Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Optex Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Optex Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Optex Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Optex Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.