NAPCO Security Valuation

NSSC Stock  USD 23.84  0.78  3.17%   
At this time, the entity appears to be undervalued. NAPCO Security Techn secures a last-minute Real Value of $28.5 per share. The latest price of the entity is $23.84. Our model forecasts the value of NAPCO Security Techn from evaluating the entity fundamentals such as Return On Asset of 0.17, current valuation of 802.42 M, and Profit Margin of 0.26 % as well as inspecting its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting NAPCO Security's valuation include:
Price Book
5.1439
Enterprise Value
802.4 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
14.9447
Price Sales
4.8045
Forward PE
24.6914
Undervalued
Today
23.84
Please note that NAPCO Security's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of NAPCO Security Techn is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing NAPCO Security's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since NAPCO Security is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of NAPCO Stock. However, NAPCO Security's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  23.84 Real  28.5 Target  47.0 Hype  24.14 Naive  20.68
The real value of NAPCO Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of NAPCO Security Techn Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on NAPCO Security's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of NAPCO Security's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
28.50
Real Value
32.48
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of NAPCO Security Technologies helps investors to forecast how NAPCO stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of NAPCO Security more accurately as focusing exclusively on NAPCO Security's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.270.270.27
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.1624.1428.12
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.220.220.23
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
42.7747.0052.17
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use NAPCO Security's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of NAPCO Security's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against NAPCO Security's closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for NAPCO Security we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

NAPCO Security Cash

78.9 Million

NAPCO Valuation Trend

Comparing NAPCO Security's enterprise value against its market capitalization is a good way to estimate the value of NAPCO Security Technologies uage its performance over time. This information may sometimes be enough for investors to make reasonable market timing decisions.

NAPCO Revenue by Product

NAPCO Security Total Value Analysis

NAPCO Security Technologies is now projected to have valuation of 802.42 M with market capitalization of 896.2 M, debt of 5.51 M, and cash on hands of 46.8 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the NAPCO Security fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
802.42 M
896.2 M
5.51 M
46.8 M

NAPCO Security Investor Information

About 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 12th of March 2025. NAPCO Security Techn had 2:1 split on the 5th of January 2022. Based on the key measurements obtained from NAPCO Security's financial statements, NAPCO Security Technologies is performing exceptionally good at this time. It has a great probability to report excellent financial results in April.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.270.26
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income65 M61.9 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

NAPCO Security Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. NAPCO Security has an asset utilization ratio of 90.89 percent. This indicates that the Company is making $0.91 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that NAPCO Security Technologies is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
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NAPCO Security Ownership Allocation

NAPCO Security Techn maintains a total of 36.4 Million outstanding shares. The majority of NAPCO Security outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. These third-party entities are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to shop for positions in NAPCO Security Technologies to benefit from reduced commissions. Thus, institutional holders are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in NAPCO Security Techn. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of NAPCO Security as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company has, if the real value of the entity is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

NAPCO Security Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 188.82 M. Net Income was 49.82 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 105.12 M.

NAPCO Security Past Distributions to stockholders

Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates NAPCO Security's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in NAPCO Security and how it compares across the competition.

About NAPCO Security Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines NAPCO Security's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of NAPCO Security. We calculate exposure to NAPCO Security's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of NAPCO Security's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit117 M122.9 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.27  0.28 
Operating Profit Margin 0.26  0.27 
Net Profit Margin 0.24  0.25 
Gross Profit Margin 0.49  0.26 

NAPCO Security Quarterly Retained Earnings

186.79 Million

NAPCO Security's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether NAPCO Security's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of NAPCO Security can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of NAPCO Security represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of NAPCO, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

NAPCO Security Dividends Analysis For Valuation

The current year's Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio is expected to grow to 4.52, whereas Dividends Paid is projected to grow to (11.3 M). . At present, NAPCO Security's Retained Earnings Total Equity is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Earnings Yield is expected to grow to 0.04, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is forecasted to decline to 18.93.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid-11.9 M-11.3 M
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.24  0.14 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 2.75  4.52 
There are various types of dividends NAPCO Security can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of NAPCO shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from NAPCO Security Technologies directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When NAPCO pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of NAPCO Security by the value of the dividends paid out.

NAPCO Security Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding37.1 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.176
Forward Price Earnings24.6914

NAPCO Security Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of NAPCO Security Technologies and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value NAPCO we look at many different elements of the entity such as NAPCO's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as NAPCO Security, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use NAPCO Security's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes NAPCO Security's worth.

Complementary Tools for NAPCO Stock analysis

When running NAPCO Security's price analysis, check to measure NAPCO Security's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NAPCO Security is operating at the current time. Most of NAPCO Security's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NAPCO Security's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NAPCO Security's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NAPCO Security to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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