Northern Dynasty Valuation

NAK Stock  USD 0.89  0.18  25.35%   
Today, the firm appears to be overvalued. Northern Dynasty Minerals secures a last-minute Real Value of $0.67 per share. The latest price of the firm is $0.89. Our model forecasts the value of Northern Dynasty Minerals from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 478.34 M, shares owned by insiders of 1.84 %, and Return On Equity of -0.14 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
0.89
Please note that Northern Dynasty's price fluctuation is out of control at this time. Calculation of the real value of Northern Dynasty Minerals is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Northern Dynasty's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Northern Dynasty's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price of 0.89, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  0.89 Real  0.67 Hype  0.89 Naive  0.92
The intrinsic value of Northern Dynasty's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Northern Dynasty's stock price.
0.67
Real Value
6.78
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Northern Dynasty Minerals helps investors to forecast how Northern stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Northern Dynasty more accurately as focusing exclusively on Northern Dynasty's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.540.700.86
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.897.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.020.927.03
Details

Northern Dynasty Total Value Analysis

Northern Dynasty Minerals is now forecasted to have company total value of 478.34 M with market capitalization of 491.75 M, debt of 2.66 M, and cash on hands of 14.17 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Northern Dynasty fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
478.34 M
491.75 M
2.66 M
14.17 M

Northern Dynasty Asset Utilization

One of the ways to look at asset utilization of Northern is to check how much profit was generated for every dollar of assets it reports. Northern Dynasty Minerals secures a negative usage of assets of -0.0688 %, losing $6.88E-4 for each dollar of assets held by the firm. Inadequate asset utilization conveys that the company is being less effective with each dollar of assets it secures. Strictly speaking, asset utilization of Northern Dynasty Minerals shows how discouraging it operates for each dollar spent on its assets.

Northern Dynasty Ownership Allocation

Northern Dynasty Minerals maintains a total of 537.72 Million outstanding shares. Roughly 82.34 % of Northern Dynasty outstanding shares are held by general public with 1.84 pct. owned by insiders and only 15.82 % by institutional investors. Please note that no matter how many assets the company has, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Northern Dynasty Profitability Analysis

Reported Net Loss for the year was (21 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0.

About Northern Dynasty Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Northern Dynasty Minerals. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Northern Dynasty Minerals based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Northern Dynasty's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Northern Dynasty's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Northern Dynasty. We calculate exposure to Northern Dynasty's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Northern Dynasty's related companies.
Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. engages in the exploration of mineral properties in the United States. Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. was incorporated in 1983 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada. Northern Dynasty operates under Other Industrial Metals Mining classification in the United States and is traded on AMEX Exchange.

Northern Dynasty Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Northern Dynasty does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding530.3 M
When determining whether Northern Dynasty Minerals is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Northern Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Northern Dynasty Minerals Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Northern Dynasty Minerals Stock:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Northern Dynasty Minerals. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is Diversified Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Northern Dynasty. If investors know Northern will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Northern Dynasty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Northern Dynasty Minerals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Northern that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Northern Dynasty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Northern Dynasty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Northern Dynasty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Northern Dynasty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Northern Dynasty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Northern Dynasty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Northern Dynasty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.