Is Northern Dynasty Stock a Good Investment?
Northern Dynasty Investment Advice | NAK |
- Examine Northern Dynasty's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
- Research Northern Dynasty's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Northern Dynasty navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
- Consider the overall health of the Diversified Metals & Mining space and any emerging trends that could impact Northern Dynasty's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
- Compare Northern Dynasty's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Northern Dynasty is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
- Check if Northern Dynasty pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
- Review what financial analysts are saying about Northern Dynasty's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Northern Dynasty Minerals stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Northern Dynasty Minerals is a good investment.
Sell | Buy |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Out of control | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Very Weak | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Examine Northern Dynasty Stock
Researching Northern Dynasty's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 17.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Northern Dynasty was now reported as 0.23. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.03. Northern Dynasty Minerals had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 2:1 split on the March 16, 1998.
To determine if Northern Dynasty is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Northern Dynasty's research are outlined below:
| Northern Dynasty has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Northern Dynasty appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Reported Net Loss for the year was (21 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0. | |
| Northern Dynasty Minerals has about 14.17 M in cash with (22.11 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05. | |
| Northern Dynasty has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Northern Dynasty Q3 Earnings Snapshot - San Antonio Express-News |
Northern Dynasty Quarterly Liabilities And Stockholders Equity |
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Northern Dynasty uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Northern Dynasty Minerals. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Northern Dynasty's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
| 29th of March 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 10th of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 29th of March 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Northern Dynasty's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Northern Dynasty's investors have experienced.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-11-12 | 2024-09-30 | -0.01 | -0.0072 | 0.0028 | 28 | ||
2021-08-16 | 2021-06-30 | -0.03 | -0.02 | 0.01 | 33 | ||
2021-03-31 | 2020-12-31 | -0.04 | -0.03 | 0.01 | 25 | ||
2013-11-12 | 2013-09-30 | -0.01 | -0.02 | -0.01 | 100 | ||
2012-03-30 | 2011-12-31 | -0.03 | -0.04 | -0.01 | 33 | ||
2010-05-14 | 2010-03-31 | -0.01 | -0.02 | -0.01 | 100 | ||
2020-05-15 | 2020-03-31 | -0.01 | -0.0227 | -0.0127 | 127 | ||
2020-08-13 | 2020-06-30 | -0.01 | -0.03 | -0.02 | 200 |
Northern Dynasty's market capitalization trends
The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 241.73 M.Market Cap |
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Northern Dynasty's profitablity analysis
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.15) | (0.15) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.18) | (0.19) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.15) | (0.15) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.17) | (0.18) |
Determining Northern Dynasty's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Northern Dynasty is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Northern Dynasty's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Northern Dynasty's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Evaluate Northern Dynasty's management efficiency
Northern Dynasty Minerals has Return on Asset of (0.0816) % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it lost $0.0816. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of (0.1361) %, meaning that it generated no profit with money invested by stockholders. Northern Dynasty's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Northern Dynasty manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The value of Return On Tangible Assets is estimated to slide to -0.15. The value of Return On Capital Employed is expected to slide to -0.19. Total Current Liabilities is expected to rise to about 21.2 M this year, although the value of Liabilities And Stockholders Equity will most likely fall to about 117.2 M.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | 0.23 | 0.22 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | 0.23 | 0.22 | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | (9.47) | (8.99) | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | 1.84 | 1.75 | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | (9.47) | (8.99) | |
| Price Fair Value | 1.84 | 1.75 | |
| Enterprise Value | 211.4 M | 398.4 M |
Evaluating the management effectiveness of Northern Dynasty allows investors to assess its financial health and operational efficiency. Coupled with an analysis of its growth prospects and the current market dynamics, we evaluate the stock's true value and future potential. Key indicators such as revenue, earnings or debt levels are examined alongside external factors like economic trends and regulatory changes. The Northern Stock analysis seeks to determine whether the stock is undervalued, appropriately priced, or overvalued, thereby guiding your investment decisions.
Beta 0.752 |
Basic technical analysis of Northern Stock
As of the 3rd of December, Northern Dynasty secures the Downside Deviation of 3.51, risk adjusted performance of 0.0729, and Mean Deviation of 3.44. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Northern Dynasty Minerals, as well as the relationship between them.Northern Dynasty's Outstanding Corporate Bonds
Northern Dynasty issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Northern Dynasty Minerals uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Northern bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Northern Dynasty Minerals has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
Understand Northern Dynasty's technical and predictive indicators
Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Northern Dynasty's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0729 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1536 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.44 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.63 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.51 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1185.59 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.96 | |||
| Variance | 24.58 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0593 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0834 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.33) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0837 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1436 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 29.69 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.88) | |||
| Potential Upside | 8.89 | |||
| Downside Variance | 12.33 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.92 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.72) | |||
| Skewness | 2.06 | |||
| Kurtosis | 6.75 |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0729 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1536 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.44 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.63 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.51 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1185.59 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.96 | |||
| Variance | 24.58 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0593 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0834 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.33) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0837 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1436 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 29.69 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.88) | |||
| Potential Upside | 8.89 | |||
| Downside Variance | 12.33 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.92 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.72) | |||
| Skewness | 2.06 | |||
| Kurtosis | 6.75 |
Consider Northern Dynasty's intraday indicators
Northern Dynasty intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Northern Dynasty stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Northern Dynasty time-series forecasting models is one of many Northern Dynasty's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Northern Dynasty's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Northern Stock media impact
Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Northern Dynasty that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Northern media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Northern internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Northern data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Northern Dynasty news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Northern Dynasty relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Northern Dynasty's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Northern Dynasty alpha.
Northern Dynasty Sentiment by Major News Outlets
Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Northern Dynasty can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.
Northern Dynasty Corporate Directors
| David Laing | Independent Director | Profile | |
| Steven Decker | Independent Director | Profile | |
| Christian Milau | Lead Independent Director | Profile | |
| Gordon Keep | Independent Director | Profile |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Northern Dynasty Minerals. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Diversified Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Northern Dynasty. If investors know Northern will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Northern Dynasty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.03) | Return On Assets (0.08) | Return On Equity (0.14) |
The market value of Northern Dynasty Minerals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Northern that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Northern Dynasty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Northern Dynasty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Northern Dynasty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Northern Dynasty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Northern Dynasty's value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Northern Dynasty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Northern Dynasty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.