MDU Resources Valuation

MDU Stock  USD 16.77  0.28  1.64%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. MDU Resources Group secures a last-minute Real Value of $18.67 per share. The latest price of the firm is $16.77. Our model forecasts the value of MDU Resources Group from inspecting the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of 0.16 %, return on equity of 0.0647, and Return On Asset of 0.0227 as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting MDU Resources' valuation include:
Price Book
1.2948
Enterprise Value
5.7 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
11.2924
Price Sales
1.9817
Forward PE
17.3913
Undervalued
Today
16.77
Please note that MDU Resources' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of MDU Resources Group is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing MDU Resources' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
MDU Resources' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price of 16.77, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  16.77 Real  18.67 Target  20.25 Hype  16.77 Naive  16.62
The intrinsic value of MDU Resources' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence MDU Resources' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
18.67
Real Value
20.19
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of MDU Resources Group helps investors to forecast how MDU stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of MDU Resources more accurately as focusing exclusively on MDU Resources' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.370.370.37
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.2516.7718.29
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.230.240.24
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
18.4320.2522.48
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use MDU Resources' intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of MDU Resources' financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against MDU Resources' closest peers.

MDU Resources Cash

80.43 Million

MDU Valuation Trend

MDU Resources' real value is important for investors to make better decisions and a more accurate overall view of MDU Resources' financial worth over time. Using both MDU Resources' enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to gauge the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing conclusions.

MDU Revenue by Product

MDU Resources Total Value Analysis

MDU Resources Group is now forecasted to have company total value of 5.73 B with market capitalization of 3.48 B, debt of 2.29 B, and cash on hands of 80.52 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the MDU Resources fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
5.73 B
3.48 B
2.29 B
80.52 M

MDU Resources Investor Information

About 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.29. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. MDU Resources Group has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.98. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of March 2025. The firm had 1805:1000 split on the 1st of November 2024. Based on the key indicators related to MDU Resources' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, MDU Resources Group is performing exceptionally good at this time. It has a great probability to report excellent financial results in April.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.120.1511
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
Total Cash From Operating Activities499.1 M411.8 M
Fairly Up
Very volatile
Operating Income366.1 M265.6 M
Significantly Up
Pretty Stable

MDU Resources Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. MDU Resources has an asset utilization ratio of 24.98 percent. This implies that the Company is making $0.25 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that MDU Resources Group is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Black Monday
 
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Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid

MDU Resources Ownership Allocation

MDU Resources Group maintains a total of 204.33 Million outstanding shares. The majority of MDU Resources outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. These third-party entities are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to shop for positions in MDU Resources Group to benefit from reduced commissions. Therefore, institutional holders are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in MDU Resources Group. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of MDU Resources as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that on May 15, 2016, Senator John Hoeven of US Senate acquired $100k to $250k worth of MDU Resources Group's common stock.

MDU Resources Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.76 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 281.11 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 571.94 M.

MDU Resources Past Distributions to stockholders

About MDU Resources Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines MDU Resources' current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of MDU Resources Group based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of MDU Resources. We calculate exposure to MDU Resources's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of MDU Resources's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit572 M543.4 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.11  0.10 
Operating Profit Margin 0.15  0.12 
Net Profit Margin 0.16  0.17 
Gross Profit Margin 0.33  0.59 

MDU Resources Quarterly Retained Earnings

1.03 Billion

MDU Resources' stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether MDU Resources' value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of MDU Resources can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of MDU Resources represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of MDU, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

MDU Resources Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At this time, MDU Resources' Dividends Paid is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Dividend Payout Ratio is likely to gain to 0.38 in 2025, whereas Dividend Yield is likely to drop 0.03 in 2025. . At this time, MDU Resources' Retained Earnings are comparatively stable compared to the past year. Price Earnings Ratio is likely to gain to 13.72 in 2025, whereas Retained Earnings Total Equity is likely to drop slightly above 1.6 B in 2025.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid102.9 M114.6 M
Dividend Yield 0.03  0.03 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.37  0.38 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 0.66  0.90 
There are various types of dividends MDU Resources can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of MDU shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from MDU Resources Group directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When MDU pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of MDU Resources by the value of the dividends paid out.

MDU Resources Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as MDU Resources does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding204.7 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.692
Forward Price Earnings17.3913

MDU Resources Current Valuation Indicators

MDU Resources' valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final MDU Resources' valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as MDU Resources, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use MDU Resources' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes MDU Resources' worth.

Additional Tools for MDU Stock Analysis

When running MDU Resources' price analysis, check to measure MDU Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MDU Resources is operating at the current time. Most of MDU Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MDU Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MDU Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MDU Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.