Lucero Energy Valuation

LOU Stock   0.46  0.01  2.22%   
Lucero Energy is overvalued. Lucero Energy Corp secures a last-minute Real Value of USD0.37 per share. The latest price of the firm is USD0.46. Our model forecasts the value of Lucero Energy Corp from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of 0.27 %, current valuation of 216.32 M, and Return On Equity of 0.0778 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Lucero Energy's valuation include:
Price Book
0.5434
Enterprise Value
216.3 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
1.9774
Price Sales
1.9576
Forward PE
7.6278
Overvalued
Today
0.46
Please note that Lucero Energy's price fluctuation is abnormally volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of Lucero Energy Corp is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Lucero Energy's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Lucero stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Lucero Energy Corp. Since Lucero Energy is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Lucero Stock. However, Lucero Energy's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  0.46 Real  0.37 Hype  0.45
The intrinsic value of Lucero Energy's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Lucero Energy's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
0.37
Real Value
3.13
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Lucero Energy Corp helps investors to forecast how Lucero stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Lucero Energy more accurately as focusing exclusively on Lucero Energy's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.020.020.02
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.453.21
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Lucero Energy's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Lucero Energy's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Lucero Energy's closest peers.

Lucero Energy Cash

107.18 Million

Lucero Valuation Trend

Analysing the historical paterns of Lucero Energy's enterprise value and its market capitalization is a good way to estimate and gauge the value of Lucero Energy Corp over time and is usually enough for investors to make rational market timing decisions.

Lucero Energy Total Value Analysis

Lucero Energy Corp is now estimated to have takeover price of 216.32 M with market capitalization of 290.14 M, debt of 89.69 M, and cash on hands of . Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Lucero Energy fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
216.32 M
290.14 M
89.69 M

Lucero Energy Investor Information

About 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.54. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Lucero Energy Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:10 split on the 19th of March 2012. Based on the key measurements obtained from Lucero Energy's financial statements, Lucero Energy Corp is doing better financially today then in previous quarter. It has a moderate risk of reporting better financial numbers in February.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities116.6 M157.2 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile

Lucero Energy Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Lucero Energy has an asset utilization ratio of 42.91 percent. This indicates that the Company is making USD0.43 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Lucero Energy Corp is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Covid

Lucero Energy Ownership Allocation

Lucero Energy Corp maintains a total of 637.66 Million outstanding shares. Lucero Energy Corp holds significant amount of outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a CEO, other corporate executive, director, or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. Since such a large part of the company is owned by insiders, it is advisable to analyze if each of these insiders have been buying or selling the stock in recent months. Please note that no matter how many assets the company has, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Lucero Energy Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 254.2 M. Net Income was 59.27 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 113.12 M.

About Lucero Energy Valuation

Our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Lucero Energy. We calculate exposure to Lucero Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Lucero Energy's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit161.2 M142.6 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.50  0.52 
Operating Profit Margin 0.82  0.86 
Net Profit Margin 0.35  0.37 
Gross Profit Margin 0.90  0.68 

Additional Tools for Lucero Stock Analysis

When running Lucero Energy's price analysis, check to measure Lucero Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lucero Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Lucero Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lucero Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lucero Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lucero Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.