Hydrofarm Holdings Valuation

HYFM Stock  USD 2.62  0.23  8.07%   
Based on Macroaxis valuation methodology, the firm appears to be overvalued. Hydrofarm Holdings retains a regular Real Value of $1.65 per share. The prevalent price of the firm is $2.62. Our model calculates the value of Hydrofarm Holdings from evaluating the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 155.5 M, return on equity of -0.26, and Return On Asset of -0.0515 as well as inspecting its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Hydrofarm Holdings' valuation include:
Price Book
0.054
Enterprise Value
155.5 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
(11.25)
Price Sales
0.0635
Forward PE
9.9404
Overvalued
Today
2.62
Please note that Hydrofarm Holdings' price fluctuation is dangerous at this time. Calculation of the real value of Hydrofarm Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Hydrofarm Holdings' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Hydrofarm stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Hydrofarm Holdings Group. Since Hydrofarm Holdings is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Hydrofarm Stock. However, Hydrofarm Holdings' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  2.62 Real  1.65 Target  0.7 Hype  2.43 Naive  3.31
The intrinsic value of Hydrofarm Holdings' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Hydrofarm Holdings' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
1.65
Real Value
6.95
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Hydrofarm Holdings Group helps investors to forecast how Hydrofarm stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Hydrofarm Holdings more accurately as focusing exclusively on Hydrofarm Holdings' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
-2.12-1.64-1.15
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.122.437.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.073.318.61
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
0.640.700.78
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Hydrofarm Holdings' intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Hydrofarm Holdings' financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Hydrofarm Holdings' closest peers.

Hydrofarm Holdings Cash

26.32 Million

Hydrofarm Valuation Trend

Knowing Hydrofarm Holdings' actual value is paramount for traders when making sound investment determinations. Using both Hydrofarm Holdings' enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to estimate the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

Hydrofarm Holdings Total Value Analysis

Hydrofarm Holdings Group is currently forecasted to have valuation of 155.5 M with market capitalization of 12.09 M, debt of 169.53 M, and cash on hands of 16.49 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Hydrofarm Holdings fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
155.5 M
12.09 M
169.53 M
16.49 M

Hydrofarm Holdings Investor Information

About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.05. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Hydrofarm Holdings recorded a loss per share of 14.51. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:10 split on the 13th of February 2025. Based on the key indicators related to Hydrofarm Holdings' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Hydrofarm Holdings Group is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in April.

Hydrofarm Holdings Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Hydrofarm Holdings has an asset utilization ratio of 44.66 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.45 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Hydrofarm Holdings Group is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Covid

Hydrofarm Holdings Ownership Allocation

The market capitalization of Hydrofarm Holdings is $12.09 Million. Hydrofarm Holdings secures significant amount of outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a CEO, other corporate executive, director, or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. Note, that even with negative profits, if the true value of the firm is larger than the current market value, you may still be able to generate positive returns on investment in this company.

Hydrofarm Holdings Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 190.29 M. Net Loss for the year was (66.72 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 34.08 M.

About Hydrofarm Holdings Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hydrofarm Holdings Group. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Hydrofarm Holdings based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Hydrofarm Holdings's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Hydrofarm Holdings's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Hydrofarm Holdings. We calculate exposure to Hydrofarm Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Hydrofarm Holdings's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit32.1 M49.6 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.36)(0.37)
Operating Profit Margin(0.27)(0.26)
Net Loss(0.35)(0.37)
Gross Profit Margin 0.17  0.12 

Hydrofarm Holdings Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Hydrofarm Holdings does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding46 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y3.625
Forward Price Earnings9.9404

Hydrofarm Holdings Current Valuation Indicators

Hydrofarm Holdings' valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Hydrofarm Holdings' valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Hydrofarm Holdings, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Hydrofarm Holdings' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Hydrofarm Holdings' worth.
When determining whether Hydrofarm Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Hydrofarm Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Hydrofarm Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Hydrofarm Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Hydrofarm Holdings Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hydrofarm Holdings. If investors know Hydrofarm will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hydrofarm Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.625
Earnings Share
(14.51)
Revenue Per Share
41.379
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.21)
Return On Assets
(0.05)
The market value of Hydrofarm Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hydrofarm that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hydrofarm Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hydrofarm Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hydrofarm Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hydrofarm Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hydrofarm Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hydrofarm Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hydrofarm Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.