Hydrofarm Holdings Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| HYFM Stock | USD 3.42 0.03 0.87% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Hydrofarm Holdings Group is 'Cautious Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Hydrofarm Holdings' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Hydrofarm Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Hydrofarm and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Hydrofarm Holdings Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
Hydrofarm |
Execute Hydrofarm Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
The Hydrofarm recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Hydrofarm Holdings Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Hydrofarm Holdings Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Hydrofarm Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Dangerous | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Hydrofarm Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Hydrofarm Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Hydrofarm Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Hydrofarm Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 190.29 M. Net Loss for the year was (66.72 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 34.08 M. | |
| Hydrofarm Holdings Group currently holds about 16.49 M in cash with (324 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.37. | |
| Hydrofarm Holdings has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Q4 2024 Hydrofarm Holdings Group Inc Earnings Call Transcript |
Hydrofarm Holdings Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Hydrofarm Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Hydrofarm Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Hydrofarm Holdings daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Hydrofarm Holdings Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Hydrofarm Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Hydrofarm Holdings.
| Mean Return | -0.88 | Value At Risk | -6.95 | Potential Upside | 6.90 | Standard Deviation | 5.12 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Hydrofarm Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Hydrofarm Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Hydrofarm Holdings, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hydrofarm Holdings Group back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Susquehanna International Group, Llp | 2024-12-31 | 114.5 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-12-31 | 74.4 K | C2p Capital Advisory Group Llc Dba Prosperity Capital Advisors | 2024-12-31 | 56.3 K | Wealth Effects Llc | 2024-12-31 | 48.5 K | Old Mission Capital Llc | 2024-09-30 | 36.6 K | Two Sigma Securities, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 30.2 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-12-31 | 29.7 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 27.2 K | Hpm Partners Llc | 2024-12-31 | 24.6 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 1.9 M | Texas Capital Bank Wealth Management Services Inc | 2024-12-31 | 1.3 M |
Hydrofarm Holdings Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (36.9M) | (46.8M) | 57.0M | 26.1M | 14.4M | 15.1M | |
| Change In Cash | 44.1M | (48.6M) | (7.1M) | 9.0M | (4.2M) | (4.0M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (46.3M) | (50.5M) | 13.8M | 2.8M | (324K) | (340.2K) | |
| Depreciation | 6.8M | 14.9M | 41.5M | 32.1M | 30.7M | 17.9M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (9.5M) | 5.5M | 227.3M | 22.3M | 23.6M | 44.1M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.5M | 5.4M | 8.2M | 4.2M | 2.9M | 3.3M | |
| Net Income | (7.3M) | 13.4M | (285.4M) | (64.8M) | (66.7M) | (70.1M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 77.0M | 28.4M | 21.3M | 30.3M | 26.1M | 30.3M | |
| Net Borrowings | 7.4M | (95.5M) | 119.5M | (1.5M) | (1.3M) | (1.3M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 14.9M | (1.4M) | (16.1M) | 216.6M | 249.0M | 261.5M | |
| Investments | 546K | (468.2M) | (8.5M) | (4.2M) | 1.7M | 1.8M |
Hydrofarm Holdings Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Hydrofarm Holdings or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Hydrofarm Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Hydrofarm stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.81 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.72 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Hydrofarm Holdings Volatility Alert
Hydrofarm Holdings Group exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.1 and kurtosis of 5.25. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Hydrofarm Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Hydrofarm Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Hydrofarm Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Hydrofarm Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Hydrofarm Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Hydrofarm Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Hydrofarm Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Hydrofarm Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hydrofarm Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Hydrofarm Holdings to competition |
| Fundamentals | Hydrofarm Holdings | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.26 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0515 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.35) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.39) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 158.97 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 4.61 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 21.25 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 16.97 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 141.78 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 6.87 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.07 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.08 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 190.29 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 34.08 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (19.92 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (66.72 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 16.49 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.37 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 169.53 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.45 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 3.83 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 48.48 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (324 K) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 4.20 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (14.51) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (0.03) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 7.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 286 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.03 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 15.78 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 426.1 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (557.46 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 60.23 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Mark Parker of 2751 shares of Hydrofarm Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Hydrofarm Holdings Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Hydrofarm . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Hydrofarm Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Hydrofarm Holdings Group? Buying financial instruments such as Hydrofarm Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Hydrofarm Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hydrofarm Holdings. If investors know Hydrofarm will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hydrofarm Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.625 | Earnings Share (14.51) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.21) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Hydrofarm Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hydrofarm that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hydrofarm Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hydrofarm Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hydrofarm Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hydrofarm Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hydrofarm Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hydrofarm Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hydrofarm Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.