Canadian National Valuation

CNR Stock  CAD 156.34  0.01  0.01%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Canadian National Railway shows a prevailing Real Value of C$129.82 per share. The current price of the firm is C$156.34. Our model approximates the value of Canadian National Railway from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.28, current valuation of 118.97 B, and Profit Margin of 0.32 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Canadian National's valuation include:
Price Book
5.0522
Enterprise Value
119 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
13.306
Price Sales
5.7292
Forward PE
18.8679
Overvalued
Today
156.34
Please note that Canadian National's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Canadian National Railway is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Canadian National's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Canadian National is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Canadian Stock. However, Canadian National's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  156.34 Real  129.82 Hype  156.34 Naive  158.94
The intrinsic value of Canadian National's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Canadian National's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
128.73
Downside
129.82
Real Value
171.97
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Canadian National Railway helps investors to forecast how Canadian stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Canadian National more accurately as focusing exclusively on Canadian National's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
1.821.841.86
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
155.25156.34157.43
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
1.841.861.88
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Canadian National's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Canadian National's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Canadian National's closest peers.

Canadian National Cash

257.68 Million

Canadian Valuation Trend

Knowing Canadian National's actual value is paramount for traders when making sound investment determinations. Using both Canadian National's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to estimate the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

Canadian National Total Value Analysis

Canadian National Railway is currently projected to have takeover price of 118.97 B with market capitalization of 98.31 B, debt of 18.89 B, and cash on hands of 328 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Canadian National fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
118.97 B
98.31 B
18.89 B
328 M

Canadian National Investor Information

About 75.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.44. Canadian National Railway last dividend was issued on the 9th of December 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 2nd of December 2013. Canadian National Railway may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average risk of going through some form of financial distress next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.280.392
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Total Cash From Operating Activities3.7 BB
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income3.7 B6.6 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile

Canadian National Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Canadian National has an asset utilization ratio of 31.95 percent. This suggests that the Company is making C$0.32 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Canadian National Railway is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
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Covid

Canadian National Ownership Allocation

Canadian National holds a total of 628.8 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Canadian National Railway outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Canadian National Railway to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Canadian National. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Canadian National Railway as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Canadian National Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 16.83 B. Net Income was 5.62 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.62 B.

Canadian National Past Distributions to stockholders

About Canadian National Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Canadian National Railway. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Canadian National Railway based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Canadian National's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Canadian National's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Canadian National. We calculate exposure to Canadian National's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Canadian National's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit7.2 B5.5 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.39  0.23 
Operating Profit Margin 0.39  0.28 
Net Profit Margin 0.33  0.18 
Gross Profit Margin 0.42  0.65 

Canadian National Quarterly Retained Earnings

17.89 Billion

When determining whether Canadian National Railway offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Canadian National's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Canadian National Railway Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Canadian National Railway Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Canadian National Railway. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Canadian National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Canadian National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Canadian National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.