Clearwater Paper Valuation

CLW Stock  USD 24.54  0.11  0.45%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Clearwater Paper shows a prevailing Real Value of $22.05 per share. The current price of the firm is $24.54. Our model approximates the value of Clearwater Paper from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as profit margin of 0.14 %, and Return On Equity of -0.0972 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Clearwater Paper's valuation include:
Price Book
0.4666
Enterprise Value
612.4 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
7.9599
Price Sales
0.2882
Forward PE
20.202
Overvalued
Today
24.54
Please note that Clearwater Paper's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of Clearwater Paper is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Clearwater Paper's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Clearwater stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Clearwater Paper. Since Clearwater Paper is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Clearwater Stock. However, Clearwater Paper's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  24.54 Real  22.05 Target  37.0 Hype  24.65 Naive  26.16
The intrinsic value of Clearwater Paper's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Clearwater Paper's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
22.05
Real Value
24.89
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Clearwater Paper helps investors to forecast how Clearwater stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Clearwater Paper more accurately as focusing exclusively on Clearwater Paper's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.170.170.17
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.8124.6527.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
23.3326.1629.00
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
33.6737.0041.07
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Clearwater Paper's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Clearwater Paper's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Clearwater Paper's closest peers.

Clearwater Paper Cash

75,620

Clearwater Valuation Trend

Analysing the historical paterns of Clearwater Paper's enterprise value and its market capitalization is a good way to estimate and gauge the value of Clearwater Paper over time and is usually enough for investors to make rational market timing decisions.

Clearwater Paper Total Value Analysis

Clearwater Paper is currently expected to have company total value of 612.42 M with market capitalization of 398.72 M, debt of 282.2 K, and cash on hands of 69.5 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Clearwater Paper fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
612.42 M
398.72 M
282.2 K
69.5 M

Clearwater Paper Investor Information

About 93.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.47. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Clearwater Paper recorded a loss per share of 4.47. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 2:1 split on the 29th of August 2011. Based on the analysis of Clearwater Paper's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Clearwater Paper is doing better financially today then in previous quarter. It has a moderate probability of reporting better financial numbers in April.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities58.3 M61.4 M
Notably Down
Very volatile

Clearwater Paper Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Clearwater Paper has an asset utilization ratio of 82.4 percent. This indicates that the Company is making $0.82 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Clearwater Paper is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
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Covid

Clearwater Paper Ownership Allocation

Clearwater Paper holds a total of 16.18 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Clearwater Paper outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Clearwater Paper to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Clearwater Paper. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Clearwater Paper as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Clearwater Paper Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.38 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 196.3 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 76.1 M.

About Clearwater Paper Valuation

Our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Clearwater Paper. We calculate exposure to Clearwater Paper's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Clearwater Paper's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit76.1 M72.3 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.07)(0.07)
Operating Profit Margin(0.05)(0.04)
Net Profit Margin 0.14  0.15 
Gross Profit Margin 0.06  0.05 

Clearwater Paper Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Clearwater Paper does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding16.8 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y10.253
Forward Price Earnings20.202

Clearwater Paper Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Clearwater Paper and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Clearwater we look at many different elements of the entity such as Clearwater's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Clearwater Paper, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Clearwater Paper's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Clearwater Paper's worth.

Additional Tools for Clearwater Stock Analysis

When running Clearwater Paper's price analysis, check to measure Clearwater Paper's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Clearwater Paper is operating at the current time. Most of Clearwater Paper's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Clearwater Paper's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Clearwater Paper's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Clearwater Paper to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.