China Gold Valuation

CGG Stock  CAD 6.79  0.17  2.44%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. China Gold International shows a prevailing Real Value of C$5.64 per share. The current price of the firm is C$6.79. Our model approximates the value of China Gold International from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of (0.24) %, current valuation of 3.41 B, and Return On Equity of -0.0458 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting China Gold's valuation include:
Price Book
1.0933
Enterprise Value
3.4 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
345.905
Price Sales
7.8672
Enterprise Value Revenue
4.4559
Overvalued
Today
6.79
Please note that China Gold's price fluctuation is moderately volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of China Gold International is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing China Gold's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since China Gold is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of China Stock. However, China Gold's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  6.79 Real  5.64 Hype  6.79 Naive  6.4
The intrinsic value of China Gold's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence China Gold's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
5.64
Real Value
9.66
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of China Gold International helps investors to forecast how China stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of China Gold more accurately as focusing exclusively on China Gold's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.110.110.11
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.776.7910.81
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.150.170.18
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use China Gold's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of China Gold's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against China Gold's closest peers.

China Gold Cash

155.24 Million

China Valuation Trend

Knowing China Gold's actual value is paramount for traders when making sound investment determinations. Using both China Gold's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to estimate the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

China Gold Total Value Analysis

China Gold International is currently forecasted to have takeover price of 3.41 B with market capitalization of 2.69 B, debt of 767.95 M, and cash on hands of 428.45 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the China Gold fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
3.41 B
2.69 B
767.95 M
428.45 M

China Gold Investor Information

About 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.09. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. China Gold International has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 202.22. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.08. The firm last dividend was issued on the 19th of April 2023. China Gold had 1:32 split on the 20th of July 2016. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from China Gold's historical financial statements, China Gold International is not in a good financial situation at the present time. It has a very high likelihood of going through financial trouble in January.

China Gold Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. China Gold has an asset utilization ratio of 16.21 percent. This suggests that the Company is making C$0.16 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that China Gold International is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid

China Gold Ownership Allocation

China Gold holds a total of 396.41 Million outstanding shares. China Gold International retains significant amount of outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a CEO, other corporate executive, director, or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. Since such a large part of the company is owned by insiders, it is advisable to analyze if each of these insiders have been buying or selling the stock in recent months. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

China Gold Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 459.43 M. Net Loss for the year was (18.67 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 395.56 M.

China Gold Past Distributions to stockholders

About China Gold Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of China Gold International. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of China Gold International based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing China Gold's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of China Gold's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of China Gold. We calculate exposure to China Gold's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of China Gold's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit80.4 M129.7 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.04)(0.04)
Operating Profit Margin 0.07  0.04 
Net Loss(0.06)(0.06)
Gross Profit Margin 0.17  0.33 

Other Information on Investing in China Stock

China Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Gold security.