Bridger Aerospace Valuation

BAER Stock   2.64  0.12  4.35%   
Based on Macroaxis valuation methodology, the firm appears to be undervalued. Bridger Aerospace shows a prevailing Real Value of USD3.21 per share. The current price of the firm is USD2.64. Our model approximates the value of Bridger Aerospace from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of (0.40) %, current valuation of 702.89 M, and Return On Equity of -0.56 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Bridger Aerospace's valuation include:
Enterprise Value
702.9 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
136.4706
Price Sales
1.773
Enterprise Value Revenue
8.2772
Undervalued
Today
2.64
Please note that Bridger Aerospace's price fluctuation is dangerous at this time. Calculation of the real value of Bridger Aerospace is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Bridger Aerospace's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Bridger stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Bridger Aerospace Group. Since Bridger Aerospace is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Bridger Stock. However, Bridger Aerospace's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  2.64 Real  3.21 Target  5.25 Hype  2.65 Naive  3.05
The intrinsic value of Bridger Aerospace's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Bridger Aerospace's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
3.21
Real Value
11.74
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Bridger Aerospace Group helps investors to forecast how Bridger stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Bridger Aerospace more accurately as focusing exclusively on Bridger Aerospace's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.632.823.02
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.132.6511.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.063.0511.58
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
4.785.255.83
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Bridger Aerospace's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Bridger Aerospace's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Bridger Aerospace's closest peers.

Bridger Aerospace Cash

23.66 Million

Bridger Valuation Trend

Bridger Aerospace's real value is important for investors to make better decisions and a more accurate overall view of Bridger Aerospace's financial worth over time. Using both Bridger Aerospace's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to gauge the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing conclusions.

Bridger Aerospace Total Value Analysis

Bridger Aerospace Group is currently forecasted to have valuation of 702.89 M with market capitalization of 195.12 M, debt of 214.62 M, and cash on hands of . Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Bridger Aerospace fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
702.89 M
195.12 M
214.62 M

Bridger Aerospace Investor Information

About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.47. Bridger Aerospace had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from Bridger Aerospace's historical financial statements, Bridger Aerospace Group is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in January.

Bridger Aerospace Asset Utilization

The concept of asset utilization usually refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. The latest return on assets of Bridger connotes not a very effective usage of assets in December.
 
Covid

Bridger Aerospace Ownership Allocation

Bridger Aerospace holds a total of 53.17 Million outstanding shares. Bridger Aerospace Group retains significant amount of outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a CEO, other corporate executive, director, or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Bridger Aerospace Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 66.71 M. Net Loss for the year was (77.36 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 12.5 M.

About Bridger Aerospace Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Bridger Aerospace's current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Bridger Aerospace based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Bridger Aerospace. We calculate exposure to Bridger Aerospace's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Bridger Aerospace's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit25.4 M14.1 M
Pretax Profit Margin(1.16)(1.22)
Operating Profit Margin(0.86)(0.90)
Net Loss(1.16)(1.22)
Gross Profit Margin 0.38  0.20 

Bridger Aerospace Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Bridger Aerospace does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding78.9 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y1.067

Bridger Aerospace Current Valuation Indicators

Bridger Aerospace's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Bridger Aerospace's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Bridger Aerospace, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Bridger Aerospace's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Bridger Aerospace's worth.

Additional Tools for Bridger Stock Analysis

When running Bridger Aerospace's price analysis, check to measure Bridger Aerospace's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bridger Aerospace is operating at the current time. Most of Bridger Aerospace's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bridger Aerospace's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bridger Aerospace's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bridger Aerospace to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.