Algoma Steel Valuation

ASTL Stock   8.86  0.17  1.88%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Algoma Steel Group shows a prevailing Real Value of USD7.44 per share. The current price of the firm is USD8.86. Our model approximates the value of Algoma Steel Group from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as return on equity of -0.1, and Profit Margin of (0.09) % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Algoma Steel's valuation include:
Price Book
0.6697
Enterprise Value
1.1 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
80.6286
Price Sales
0.3785
Forward PE
6.689
Overvalued
Today
8.86
Please note that Algoma Steel's price fluctuation is slightly risky at this time. Calculation of the real value of Algoma Steel Group is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Algoma Steel's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Algoma Steel is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Algoma Stock. However, Algoma Steel's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  8.86 Real  7.44 Hype  8.78 Naive  9.42
The intrinsic value of Algoma Steel's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Algoma Steel's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
7.44
Real Value
10.72
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Algoma Steel Group helps investors to forecast how Algoma stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Algoma Steel more accurately as focusing exclusively on Algoma Steel's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
-0.53-0.47-0.38
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.508.7812.06
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.10.100.10
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Algoma Steel's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Algoma Steel's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Algoma Steel's closest peers.

Algoma Steel Cash

111.22 Million

Algoma Valuation Trend

Knowing Algoma Steel's actual value is paramount for traders when making sound investment determinations. Using both Algoma Steel's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to estimate the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

Algoma Steel Total Value Analysis

Algoma Steel Group is presently estimated to have takeover price of 1.11 B with market capitalization of 929.05 M, debt of 156.5 M, and cash on hands of . Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Algoma Steel fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company

Algoma Steel Investor Information

About 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.67. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Algoma Steel Group recorded a loss per share of 1.45. The entity last dividend was issued on the 21st of March 2025. Algoma Steel Group is doing better financially today then in previous quarter. It has a moderate likelihood of reporting better financial numbers in April.

Algoma Steel Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Algoma Steel has an asset utilization ratio of 104.48 percent. This suggests that the Company is making USD1.04 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Algoma Steel Group is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid

Algoma Steel Ownership Allocation

Algoma Steel holds a total of 104.86 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Algoma Steel Group outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Algoma Steel Group to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Algoma Steel. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Algoma Steel Group as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Algoma Steel Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 2.8 B. Net Income was 105.2 M with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (115.07 M).

Algoma Steel Past Distributions to stockholders

About Algoma Steel Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Algoma Steel Group. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Algoma Steel Group based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Algoma Steel's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Algoma Steel's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Algoma Steel. We calculate exposure to Algoma Steel's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Algoma Steel's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit320.5 M337.1 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.05  0.05 
Operating Profit Margin 0.05  0.04 
Net Profit Margin 0.03  0.04 
Gross Profit Margin 0.10  0.07 
When determining whether Algoma Steel Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Algoma Steel's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Algoma Steel's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Algoma Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Algoma Steel Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Algoma Steel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Algoma Steel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Algoma Steel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.