Alithya Group Valuation

ALYA Stock  CAD 1.61  0.06  3.59%   
Based on Macroaxis valuation methodology, the firm appears to be overvalued. Alithya Group inc shows a prevailing Real Value of C$1.4 per share. The current price of the firm is C$1.61. Our model approximates the value of Alithya Group inc from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Return On Equity of -0.0685, current valuation of 260.51 M, and Profit Margin of (0.03) % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Alithya Group's valuation include:
Price Book
0.8878
Enterprise Value
260.5 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
8.3948
Price Sales
0.3331
Forward PE
15.949
Overvalued
Today
1.61
Please note that Alithya Group's price fluctuation is very risky at this time. Calculation of the real value of Alithya Group inc is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Alithya Group's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Alithya Group is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Alithya Stock. However, Alithya Group's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  1.61 Real  1.4 Hype  1.61 Naive  1.7
The intrinsic value of Alithya Group's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Alithya Group's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
1.40
Real Value
3.55
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Alithya Group inc helps investors to forecast how Alithya stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Alithya Group more accurately as focusing exclusively on Alithya Group's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.040.050.06
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.613.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.031.703.85
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Alithya Group's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Alithya Group's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Alithya Group's closest peers.

Alithya Group Cash

12.4 Million

Alithya Valuation Trend

Knowing Alithya Group's actual value is paramount for traders when making sound investment determinations. Using both Alithya Group's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to estimate the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

Alithya Group Total Value Analysis

Alithya Group inc is presently estimated to have takeover price of 260.51 M with market capitalization of 154.29 M, debt of 128.9 M, and cash on hands of 14.28 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Alithya Group fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
260.51 M
154.29 M
128.9 M
14.28 M

Alithya Group Investor Information

About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.89. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Alithya Group inc has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.63. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.03. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Alithya Group had 1:400 split on the 30th of June 2004. Based on the analysis of Alithya Group's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Alithya Group inc is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in January.

Alithya Group Asset Utilization

The concept of asset utilization usually refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. The recent return on assets of Alithya suggests not a very effective usage of assets in December.
 
Covid

Alithya Group Ownership Allocation

Alithya Group holds a total of 88.56 Million outstanding shares. Alithya Group inc retains significant amount of outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a CEO, other corporate executive, director, or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. Since such a large part of the company is owned by insiders, it is advisable to analyze if each of these insiders have been buying or selling the stock in recent months. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Alithya Group Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 491.12 M. Net Loss for the year was (16.66 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 105.28 M.

About Alithya Group Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Alithya Group inc. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Alithya Group inc based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Alithya Group's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Alithya Group's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Alithya Group. We calculate exposure to Alithya Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Alithya Group's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit111.8 M99.5 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.03)(0.04)
Operating Profit Margin(0.01)(0.01)
Net Loss(0.03)(0.04)
Gross Profit Margin 0.29  0.37 

Other Information on Investing in Alithya Stock

Alithya Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alithya Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alithya with respect to the benefits of owning Alithya Group security.