Alithya Group Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ALYA Stock  CAD 1.61  0.06  3.59%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Alithya Group inc is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Alithya Group's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Alithya Group Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Alithya and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Alithya Group inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Alithya Group Buy or Sell Advice

The Alithya recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Alithya Group inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Alithya Group inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Alithya Group's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Alithya GroupBuy Alithya Group
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very riskyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Above AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Alithya Group inc has a Mean Deviation of 1.72, Standard Deviation of 2.37 and Variance of 5.62
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Alithya Group inc. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Alithya Group is not overpriced, please confirm all Alithya Group inc fundamentals, including its current valuation, shares owned by insiders, number of shares shorted, as well as the relationship between the shares outstanding and shares owned by institutions .

Alithya Group Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Alithya Group inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Alithya Group inc may become a speculative penny stock
Alithya Group inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 491.12 M. Net Loss for the year was (16.66 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 105.28 M.
About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Alithya To Release Second Quarter Fiscal 2025 Financial Results On November 14 - Barchart

Alithya Group Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Alithya Group's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Alithya Group's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Alithya Group daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Alithya Group inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Alithya Group returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Alithya Group.
Mean Return
-0.21
Value At Risk
-4.52
Potential Upside
2.86
Standard Deviation
2.37
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Alithya Group historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Alithya Group Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Investments(18.2M)(4.6M)(18.9M)(13.7M)(787K)(826.4K)
Change In Cash(4.0M)(1.9M)10.8M4.9M(13.7M)(13.0M)
Net Borrowings(31.5M)4.8M2.2M7.6M8.7M9.1M
Free Cash Flow4.2M(2.7M)(4.7M)26.3M3.8M4.0M
Depreciation14.6M15.5M19.7M34.0M29.0M16.9M
Other Non Cash Items28.3M(329K)(5.0M)22.7M74.4M78.1M
Capital Expenditures4.5M2.3M3.1M2.6M787K747.7K
Net Income(39.7M)(17.3M)(15.5M)(30.1M)(16.7M)(17.5M)
End Period Cash Flow8.8M6.9M17.7M22.6M8.9M12.4M
Change To Netincome(1.5M)27.7M1.2M(5.0M)(5.7M)(5.4M)
Change To Inventory4.7M(5.5M)(17.7M)6.2M7.1M7.4M

Alithya Group Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Alithya Group or IT Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Alithya Group's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Alithya stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.44
σ
Overall volatility
2.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Alithya Group Volatility Alert

Alithya Group inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.49 and kurtosis of 1.63. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Alithya Group's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Alithya Group's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Alithya Group Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Alithya Group's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Alithya Group's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Alithya Group and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Alithya Group or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Alithya Group's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alithya Group by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Alithya Group to competition
FundamentalsAlithya GroupPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0685-0.31
Return On Asset0.0063-0.14
Profit Margin(0.03) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.02 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation260.51 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding88.56 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders24.03 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions21.93 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted484.62 K4.71 M
Price To Book0.89 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.33 X11.42 X
Revenue491.12 M9.43 B
Gross Profit105.28 M27.38 B
EBITDA20.75 M3.9 B
Net Income(16.66 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents14.28 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.25 X5.01 X
Total Debt128.9 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.56 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.54 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.84 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations4.62 M971.22 M
Short Ratio26.03 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.03) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.63 X4.89 X
Target Price2.83
Number Of Employees3 K18.84 K
Beta0.41-0.15
Market Capitalization154.29 M19.03 B
Total Asset416.5 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(157.37 M)9.33 B
Working Capital22.58 M1.48 B
Net Asset416.5 M

Alithya Group Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Alithya . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Alithya Group Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Alithya Group inc? Buying financial instruments such as Alithya Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Alithya Stock

Alithya Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alithya Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alithya with respect to the benefits of owning Alithya Group security.