Allegiant Travel Valuation

ALGT Stock  USD 77.50  4.11  5.04%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Allegiant Travel shows a prevailing Real Value of $70.94 per share. The current price of the firm is $77.5. Our model approximates the value of Allegiant Travel from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of (0.1) %, current valuation of 2.78 B, and Return On Equity of -0.18 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
77.50
Please note that Allegiant Travel's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Allegiant Travel is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Allegiant Travel's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Allegiant Travel's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price of 77.50, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  77.5 Real  70.94 Hype  77.5 Naive  84.25
The intrinsic value of Allegiant Travel's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Allegiant Travel's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
70.94
Real Value
85.25
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Allegiant Travel helps investors to forecast how Allegiant stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Allegiant Travel more accurately as focusing exclusively on Allegiant Travel's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
77.9784.6291.27
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
74.2777.5080.73
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.770.800.83
Details

Allegiant Travel Total Value Analysis

Allegiant Travel is presently forecasted to have valuation of 2.78 B with market capitalization of 1.5 B, debt of 2.36 B, and cash on hands of 1.21 B. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Allegiant Travel fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
2.78 B
1.5 B
2.36 B
1.21 B

Allegiant Travel Investor Information

About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.37. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Allegiant Travel recorded a loss per share of 13.49. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of May 2024. Allegiant Travel is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in March.

Allegiant Travel Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Allegiant Travel has an asset utilization ratio of 51.54 percent. This implies that the Company is making $0.52 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Allegiant Travel is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

Allegiant Travel Ownership Allocation

Allegiant Travel holds a total of 18.34 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Allegiant Travel outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Allegiant Travel to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Allegiant Travel. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Allegiant Travel as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Also note that nearly one million five hundred eighteen thousand eight hundred seventy-five invesors are currently shorting Allegiant Travel expressing very little confidence in its future performance.

Allegiant Travel Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.51 B. Net Income was 117.6 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 643.15 M.

Allegiant Travel Past Distributions to stockholders

About Allegiant Travel Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Allegiant Travel's current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Allegiant Travel based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Allegiant Travel. We calculate exposure to Allegiant Travel's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Allegiant Travel's related companies.
Allegiant Travel Company, a leisure travel company, provides travel services and products to residents of under-served cities in the United States. Allegiant Travel Company was founded in 1997 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada. Allegiant Travel operates under Airlines classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 5226 people.
Allegiant Travel's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Allegiant Travel's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Allegiant Travel can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Allegiant Travel represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Allegiant, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Allegiant Travel Dividends Analysis For Valuation

There are various types of dividends Allegiant Travel can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Allegiant shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Allegiant Travel directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Allegiant pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Allegiant Travel by the value of the dividends paid out.

Allegiant Travel Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Allegiant Travel does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding18 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.844
Forward Price Earnings10.2041

Additional Tools for Allegiant Stock Analysis

When running Allegiant Travel's price analysis, check to measure Allegiant Travel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Allegiant Travel is operating at the current time. Most of Allegiant Travel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Allegiant Travel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Allegiant Travel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Allegiant Travel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.