Allegiant Travel Valuation

ALGT Stock  USD 51.93  1.10  2.07%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Allegiant Travel shows a prevailing Real Value of $68.25 per share. The current price of the firm is $51.93. Our model approximates the value of Allegiant Travel from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 2.33 B, return on equity of -0.2, and Profit Margin of (0.1) % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Allegiant Travel's valuation include:
Price Book
0.8824
Enterprise Value
2.3 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
38.2815
Price Sales
0.4085
Forward PE
6.5574
Undervalued
Today
51.93
Please note that Allegiant Travel's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Allegiant Travel is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Allegiant Travel's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Allegiant Travel's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price of 51.93, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  51.93 Real  68.25 Target  89.83 Hype  51.64 Naive  51.72
The intrinsic value of Allegiant Travel's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Allegiant Travel's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
68.25
Real Value
72.00
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Allegiant Travel helps investors to forecast how Allegiant stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Allegiant Travel more accurately as focusing exclusively on Allegiant Travel's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
1.301.782.20
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
47.8951.6455.39
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.750.800.85
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
81.7589.8399.71
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Allegiant Travel's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Allegiant Travel's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Allegiant Travel's closest peers.

Allegiant Travel Cash

300.19 Million

Allegiant Valuation Trend

Allegiant Travel's real value is important for investors to make better decisions and a more accurate overall view of Allegiant Travel's financial worth over time. Using both Allegiant Travel's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to gauge the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing conclusions.

Allegiant Revenue by Product

Allegiant Travel Total Value Analysis

Allegiant Travel is presently forecasted to have valuation of 2.33 B with market capitalization of 1.03 B, debt of 2.15 B, and cash on hands of 1.21 B. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Allegiant Travel fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
2.33 B
1.03 B
2.15 B
1.21 B

Allegiant Travel Investor Information

About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.88. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Allegiant Travel recorded a loss per share of 14.4. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of May 2024. Allegiant Travel may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities258 M338.5 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile

Allegiant Travel Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Allegiant Travel has an asset utilization ratio of 56.72 percent. This implies that the Company is making $0.57 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Allegiant Travel is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
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Allegiant Travel Ownership Allocation

Allegiant Travel holds a total of 18.34 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Allegiant Travel outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Allegiant Travel to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Allegiant Travel. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Allegiant Travel as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Also note that nearly one million five hundred sixty-six thousand ninety-one invesors are currently shorting Allegiant Travel expressing very little confidence in its future performance.

Allegiant Travel Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.51 B. Net Loss for the year was (240.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 577.35 M.

Allegiant Travel Past Distributions to stockholders

About Allegiant Travel Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Allegiant Travel's current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Allegiant Travel based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Allegiant Travel. We calculate exposure to Allegiant Travel's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Allegiant Travel's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit1.6 B1.6 B
Pretax Profit Margin(0.12)(0.12)
Operating Profit Margin(0.10)(0.09)
Net Loss(0.10)(0.09)
Gross Profit Margin 0.62  0.33 

Allegiant Travel Quarterly Retained Earnings

1 Billion

Allegiant Travel's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Allegiant Travel's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Allegiant Travel can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Allegiant Travel represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Allegiant, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Allegiant Travel Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At this time, Allegiant Travel's Dividends Paid is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Dividend Yield is likely to gain to 0.02 in 2025, despite the fact that Dividend Payout Ratio is likely to grow to (0.09). . Retained Earnings is likely to drop to about 626.1 M in 2025. Retained Earnings Total Equity is likely to drop to about 703.6 M in 2025
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid21.9 M28.4 M
Dividend Yield 0.01  0.02 
Dividend Payout Ratio(0.09)(0.09)
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 1.05  1.43 
There are various types of dividends Allegiant Travel can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Allegiant shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Allegiant Travel directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Allegiant pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Allegiant Travel by the value of the dividends paid out.

Allegiant Travel Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Allegiant Travel does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding17.9 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.844
Forward Price Earnings6.5574

Allegiant Travel Current Valuation Indicators

Allegiant Travel's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Allegiant Travel's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Allegiant Travel, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Allegiant Travel's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Allegiant Travel's worth.

Additional Tools for Allegiant Stock Analysis

When running Allegiant Travel's price analysis, check to measure Allegiant Travel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Allegiant Travel is operating at the current time. Most of Allegiant Travel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Allegiant Travel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Allegiant Travel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Allegiant Travel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.