Allegiant Travel Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ALGT Stock | USD 54.23 0.74 1.38% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Allegiant Travel is 'Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Allegiant Travel given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Allegiant Travel, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Allegiant Travel Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Allegiant Stock please use our How to Invest in Allegiant Travel guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Allegiant and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Allegiant Travel. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
Allegiant |
Execute Allegiant Travel Buy or Sell Advice
The Allegiant recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Allegiant Travel. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Allegiant Travel or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Allegiant Travel's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Allegiant Travel Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Allegiant Travel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Allegiant Travel has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.51 B. Net Loss for the year was (240.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 577.35 M. | |
| Allegiant Travel has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: LATAM Airlines February 2025 Traffic Improves Year Over Year |
Allegiant Travel Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Allegiant Travel's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Allegiant Travel's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Allegiant Travel daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Allegiant Travel price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Allegiant Travel returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Allegiant Travel.
| Mean Return | -0.52 | Value At Risk | -5.47 | Potential Upside | 4.46 | Standard Deviation | 3.56 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Allegiant Travel historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Allegiant Stock Institutional Investors
The Allegiant Travel's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Allegiant Travel's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-12-31 | 355.7 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 355.2 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 304.6 K | Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 277 K | Diamond Hill Capital Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 251.8 K | Emerald Advisers, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 236.5 K | Clearbridge Advisors, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 192.6 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-12-31 | 191.7 K | Voloridge Investment Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 177.6 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 2.5 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 1.6 M |
Allegiant Travel Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 14.7M | 53.6M | (123.2M) | 187.6M | 215.7M | 226.5M | |
| Change In Cash | 33.5M | 230.4M | (155.3M) | (85.9M) | 142.7M | 149.9M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (45.7M) | 232.7M | (131.6M) | (447.4M) | 38.3M | 40.2M | |
| Depreciation | 176.3M | 181.0M | 197.5M | 223.1M | 258.3M | 271.2M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 310.0M | (24.3M) | 48.5M | 16.8M | 307.8M | 323.1M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 280.2M | 255.5M | 434.7M | 870.5M | 300.2M | 258.2M | |
| Net Income | (184.1M) | 151.9M | 2.5M | 117.6M | (240.2M) | (228.2M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 170.3M | 400.7M | 245.4M | 159.6M | 302.3M | 317.4M | |
| Dividends Paid | 45.2M | 45.6M | 11.4M | 22.1M | 21.9M | 28.4M | |
| Investments | (94.4M) | (343.6M) | (491.4M) | (693.2M) | 5.6M | 5.9M | |
| Change Receivables | 35.6M | 10.5M | 4.4M | (14.7M) | (16.9M) | (16.1M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 135.8M | 203.0M | (19.4M) | 162.0M | 186.3M | 133.3M | |
| Change To Netincome | 83.7M | 106.0M | 85.6M | 65.9M | 75.8M | 62.7M |
Allegiant Travel Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Allegiant Travel or Passenger Airlines sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Allegiant Travel's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Allegiant stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.43 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.90 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Allegiant Travel Volatility Alert
Allegiant Travel exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.36 and kurtosis of 3.88. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Allegiant Travel's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Allegiant Travel's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Allegiant Travel Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Allegiant Travel's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Allegiant Travel's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Allegiant Travel and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Allegiant Travel or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Allegiant Travel's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Allegiant Travel by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Allegiant Travel to competition |
| Fundamentals | Allegiant Travel | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.2 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0126 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.1) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.05 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.36 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 18.34 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 22.96 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 85.57 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.04 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 40.92 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.91 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.40 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 2.51 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 577.35 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 60.86 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (240.24 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.21 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 67.19 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.15 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.69 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.53 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 61.20 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 338.46 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.35 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (13.49) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (14.47) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 97.92 | |
| Number Of Employees | 6.69 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.64 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 994.49 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 4.43 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (285.8 M) | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 85500 shares by John Redmond of Allegiant Travel subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Allegiant Travel Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Allegiant . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Allegiant Travel Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Allegiant Travel? Buying financial instruments such as Allegiant Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Allegiant Stock Analysis
When running Allegiant Travel's price analysis, check to measure Allegiant Travel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Allegiant Travel is operating at the current time. Most of Allegiant Travel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Allegiant Travel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Allegiant Travel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Allegiant Travel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.