Warner Music Group Stock Analysis

WMG Stock  USD 32.44  0.04  0.12%   
Warner Music Group is overvalued with Real Value of 29.93 and Target Price of 35.63. The main objective of Warner Music stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Warner Music Group is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Warner Music's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Warner Music stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Warner Music's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Warner Music Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.

Warner Stock Analysis Notes

About 98.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.17. Warner Music Group last dividend was issued on the 24th of February 2025. Warner Music Group Corp. operates as a music entertainment company in the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, and internationally. The company was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in New York, New York. Warner Music operates under Entertainment classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 6200 people. For more information please call Robert Kyncl at 212 275 2000 or visit https://www.wmg.com.

Warner Music Quarterly Total Revenue

1.67 Billion

Warner Music Group Investment Alerts

Warner Music Group has 4.29 B in debt. Warner Music Group has a current ratio of 0.62, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Warner to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Over 98.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from nypost.com: Edgar Bronfman Jr. gets subpoena in legal battle to block Skydance-Paramount merger sources

Warner Music Group Upcoming and Recent Events

8th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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14th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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21st of November 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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30th of September 2023
Last Financial Announcement
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Warner Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Warner Music's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2020-11-23
2020-09-300.060.0392-0.020834 
2023-08-08
2023-06-300.20.230.0315 
2023-02-09
2022-12-310.260.23-0.0311 
View All Earnings Estimates

Warner Music Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Warner Music's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Warner Music's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Warner Music's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Warner Music's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Warner Music Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Warner Music stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Music and Video Idea
Music and Video
Music, video and movies
Entertainment Idea
Entertainment
USA Equities from Entertainment industry as classified by Fama & French

Warner Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Ako Capital Llp2024-12-31
4.3 M
Harris Associates L.p.2024-12-31
M
Caledonia (private) Investments Pty Ltd2024-12-31
3.2 M
D1 Capital Partners L.p.2024-12-31
2.7 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
2.6 M
State Street Corp2024-12-31
2.5 M
Fmr Inc2024-12-31
2.3 M
Fairview Capital Investment Management2024-12-31
1.9 M
Artisan Partners Limited Partnership2024-12-31
1.6 M
Capital World Investors2024-12-31
13.4 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
13.1 M
Note, although Warner Music's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Warner Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 16.88 B.

Warner Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.08 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.14 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.14 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.30)(0.29)
Return On Capital Employed 0.75  0.79 
Return On Assets(0.30)(0.29)
Return On Equity(0.85)(0.81)

Management Efficiency

Warner Music Group has Return on Asset of 0.0653 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0653 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.8012 %, implying that it generated $0.8012 on every 100 dollars invested. Warner Music's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Warner Music manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The Warner Music's current Return On Capital Employed is estimated to increase to 0.79, while Return On Tangible Assets are forecasted to increase to (0.29). At this time, Warner Music's Non Currrent Assets Other are most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The Warner Music's current Other Current Assets is estimated to increase to about 718.5 M, while Non Current Assets Total are projected to decrease to roughly 4.8 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 4.47  4.69 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 4.47  4.69 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 8.91  16.02 
Price Book Value Ratio 19.05  18.10 
Enterprise Value Multiple 8.91  16.02 
Price Fair Value 19.05  18.10 
Enterprise Value30.1 B25.8 B
Warner Music Group has shown resilience through effective management strategies. Our analysis examines how these strategies influence financial outcomes and investor returns which helps in understanding the stock's long-term potential.
Dividend Yield
0.0222
Operating Margin
0.1447
Profit Margin
0.0807
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0222
Beta
1.328

Technical Drivers

As of the 24th of March, Warner Music maintains the Downside Deviation of 1.73, market risk adjusted performance of 0.0273, and Mean Deviation of 1.21. Relative to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Warner Music Group, as well as the relationship between them. Please check out Warner Music Group jensen alpha and downside variance to decide if Warner Music Group is priced fairly, providing market reflects its latest price of 32.44 per share. Given that Warner Music Group has jensen alpha of 0.0382, we strongly advise you to confirm Warner Music Group's prevalent market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Warner Music Group Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was nineteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-two. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Warner Music middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Warner Music Group. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Warner Music Group Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Warner Music insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Warner Music's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Warner Music insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Warner Music Outstanding Bonds

Warner Music issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Warner Music Group uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Warner bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Warner Music Group has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Warner Music Predictive Daily Indicators

Warner Music intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Warner Music stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Warner Music Corporate Filings

8K
7th of March 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
6th of March 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
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F4
21st of February 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
18th of February 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
14th of February 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
12th of February 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
8K
6th of February 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
21st of January 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify

Warner Music Forecast Models

Warner Music's time-series forecasting models are one of many Warner Music's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Warner Music's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Warner Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Warner Music prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Warner shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Warner Music. By using and applying Warner Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Warner entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.08  0.09 
Operating Profit Margin(0.47)(0.45)
Net Loss(0.40)(0.38)
Gross Profit Margin 0.43  0.38 

Current Warner Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Warner analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Warner analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
35.63Buy19Odds
Warner Music Group current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Warner analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Warner stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Warner Music Group, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Warner conference calls.
Warner Analyst Advice Details

Warner Stock Analysis Indicators

Warner Music Group stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Warner Music stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Warner Music shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Warner Music stock analysis, traders can identify Warner Music position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow641 M
Total Stockholder Equity518 M
Capital Lease Obligations273 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net706 M
Cash And Short Term Investments694 M
Cash694 M
50 Day M A32.6349
Net Interest Income-161 M
Total Current Liabilities3.9 B
Forward Price Earnings21.3675
Investments-311 M
Interest Expense161 M
Stock Based Compensation52 M
Long Term DebtB
Common Stock Shares Outstanding517.5 M
Tax Provision123 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.478
Accounts Payable289 M
Net Debt3.6 B
Other Operating Expenses5.6 B
Non Current Assets Total6.5 B
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity9.2 B
Non Currrent Assets Other1.4 B

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When running Warner Music's price analysis, check to measure Warner Music's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Warner Music is operating at the current time. Most of Warner Music's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Warner Music's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Warner Music's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Warner Music to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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