Vital Farms Stock Analysis
VITL Stock | USD 32.34 0.19 0.58% |
Vital Farms is overvalued with Real Value of 22.95 and Target Price of 17.83. The main objective of Vital Farms stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Vital Farms is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Vital Farms' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Vital Farms stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA.
Vital |
Vital Stock Analysis Notes
About 34.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 103.36. Vital Farms had not issued any dividends in recent years. Vital Farms, Inc., an ethical food company, provides pasture-raised products in the United States. Vital Farms, Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas. Vital Farms operates under Farm Products classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 288 people. For more information please call Russell DiezCanseco at 877 455 3063 or visit https://vitalfarms.com.Vital Farms Quarterly Total Revenue |
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Vital Farms Investment Alerts
Vital Farms had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
Vital Farms has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
Over 89.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
Latest headline from zacks.com: PepsiCo Agrees to Buy the Remaining 50 percent Stake in Sabra and Obela |
Vital Farms Upcoming and Recent Events
14th of March 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
2nd of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
14th of March 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Vital Largest EPS Surprises
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Vital Farms' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-11-03 | 2022-09-30 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 100 | ||
2021-03-24 | 2020-12-31 | -0.01 | -0.02 | -0.01 | 100 | ||
2021-11-09 | 2021-09-30 | -0.06 | -0.03 | 0.03 | 50 |
Vital Farms Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores
Vital Farms' ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Vital Farms' performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Vital Farms' operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Vital Farms' stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.
Vital Farms Thematic Classifications
In addition to having Vital Farms stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Food ProductsUSA Equities from Food Products industry as classified by Fama & French |
Vital Stock Institutional Investors
Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares | State Street Corp | 2024-06-30 | 717.2 K | Emerald Advisers, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 706.4 K | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-06-30 | 683.6 K | Driehaus Capital Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 682.2 K | Principal Financial Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 655.8 K | Lord, Abbett & Co Llc | 2024-09-30 | 643.1 K | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2024-09-30 | 614.9 K | Pictet Asset Manangement Sa | 2024-06-30 | 609.2 K | Emerald Mutual Fund Advisers Trust | 2024-09-30 | 531.7 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 3.7 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 2.1 M |
Vital Market Capitalization
The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 1.42 B.Vital Profitablity
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.09 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.06 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.06.Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Return On Tangible Assets | 0.11 | 0.06 | |
Return On Capital Employed | 0.18 | 0.11 | |
Return On Assets | 0.11 | 0.06 | |
Return On Equity | 0.15 | 0.26 |
Management Efficiency
Vital Farms has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.1254 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.1254 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.2293 %, meaning that it created $0.2293 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Vital Farms' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Vital Farms manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Equity is expected to rise to 0.26 this year, although the value of Return On Tangible Assets will most likely fall to 0.06. The value of Total Assets is estimated to slide to about 176.5 M. The value of Net Tangible Assets is estimated to slide to about 98.2 MLast Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Book Value Per Share | 4.21 | 2.54 | |
Tangible Book Value Per Share | 4.12 | 2.46 | |
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 14.84 | 14.10 | |
Price Book Value Ratio | 3.86 | 3.66 | |
Enterprise Value Multiple | 14.84 | 14.10 | |
Price Fair Value | 3.86 | 3.66 | |
Enterprise Value | 672.4 M | 921.7 M |
Understanding the operational decisions made by Vital Farms management offers insights into its financial robustness. This evaluation is crucial for assessing the stock's investment potential.
Operating Margin 0.0637 | Profit Margin 0.0868 | Beta 0.97 | Return On Assets 0.1254 | Return On Equity 0.2293 |
Technical Drivers
As of the 28th of November, Vital Farms has the Coefficient Of Variation of 6577.4, semi deviation of 3.79, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0193. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Vital Farms, as well as the relationship between them. Please validate Vital Farms jensen alpha and downside variance to decide if Vital Farms is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 32.34 per share. Given that Vital Farms has jensen alpha of (0.17), we advise you to double-check Vital Farms's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.Vital Farms Price Movement Analysis
The output start index for this execution was thirteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-eight. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Vital Farms middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Vital Farms. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.
Vital Farms Insider Trading Activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Vital Farms insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Vital Farms' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Vital Farms insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Vital Farms Outstanding Bonds
Vital Farms issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Vital Farms uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Vital bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Vital Farms has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
US92840JAB52 Corp BondUS92840JAB52 | View | |
VSTJET 7875 01 MAY 27 Corp BondUS92840JAD19 | View | |
VST 5125 13 MAY 25 Corp BondUS92840VAL62 | View | |
US92840VAH50 Corp BondUS92840VAH50 | View | |
VISTRA OPERATIONS LLC Corp BondUS92840VAG77 | View | |
Vistra Operations Co Corp BondUS92840VAF94 | View | |
Vistra Operations Co Corp BondUS92840VAE20 | View | |
Vistra Operations Co Corp BondUS92840VAB80 | View |
Vital Farms Predictive Daily Indicators
Vital Farms intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Vital Farms stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Accumulation Distribution | 76770.14 | |||
Daily Balance Of Power | (0.13) | |||
Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
Day Median Price | 32.89 | |||
Day Typical Price | 32.71 | |||
Price Action Indicator | (0.65) | |||
Period Momentum Indicator | (0.19) | |||
Relative Strength Index | 28.53 |
Vital Farms Corporate Filings
F4 | 26th of November 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 21st of November 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 19th of November 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
13A | 14th of November 2024 An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G | ViewVerify |
13A | 8th of November 2024 An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G | ViewVerify |
10Q | 7th of November 2024 Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations | ViewVerify |
F4 | 23rd of October 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
13A | 22nd of October 2024 An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G | ViewVerify |
Vital Farms Forecast Models
Vital Farms' time-series forecasting models are one of many Vital Farms' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Vital Farms' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.About Vital Stock Analysis
Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Vital Farms prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Vital shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Vital Farms. By using and applying Vital Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Vital entry and exit points for their positions.
Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Pretax Profit Margin | 0.06 | 0.06 | |
Operating Profit Margin | 0.06 | 0.07 | |
Net Profit Margin | 0.05 | 0.05 | |
Gross Profit Margin | 0.31 | 0.25 |
Current Vital Analysis - Recommendations
We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Vital analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Vital analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
17.83 | Strong Buy | 6 | Odds |
Most Vital analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Vital stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Vital Farms, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Vital conference calls.
Vital Stock Analysis Indicators
Vital Farms stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Vital Farms stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Vital Farms shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Vital Farms stock analysis, traders can identify Vital Farms position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow | 12.9 M | |
Total Stockholder Equity | 192.7 M | |
Capital Lease Obligations | 22.6 M | |
Property Plant And Equipment Net | 75.8 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 116.8 M | |
Net Invested Capital | 192.7 M | |
Cash | 84.1 M | |
50 Day M A | 34.7524 | |
Net Interest Income | 1.8 M | |
Total Current Liabilities | 65.2 M | |
Forward Price Earnings | 208.3333 | |
Investments | 22.4 M | |
Interest Expense | 782 K | |
Stock Based Compensation | 7.4 M | |
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 41.7 M | |
Tax Provision | 6.6 M | |
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | 0.6 | |
Free Cash Flow | 39.4 M | |
Other Current Assets | 6.1 M | |
Accounts Payable | 33.5 M | |
Net Debt | -61.6 M | |
Non Current Assets Total | 79.7 M | |
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity | 275.2 M |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Vital Farms. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate. For more information on how to buy Vital Stock please use our How to buy in Vital Stock guide.You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vital Farms. If investors know Vital will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vital Farms listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.6 | Earnings Share 1.12 | Revenue Per Share 13.619 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.313 | Return On Assets 0.1254 |
The market value of Vital Farms is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vital that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vital Farms' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vital Farms' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vital Farms' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vital Farms' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vital Farms' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vital Farms is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vital Farms' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.