Is Vital Farms Stock a Good Investment?

Vital Farms Investment Advice

  VITL
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Vital Farms stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Vital Farms. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Vital Farms in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Vital Farms' financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Vital Farms' leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Vital Farms navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Packaged Foods & Meats space and any emerging trends that could impact Vital Farms' business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Vital Farms' performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Vital Farms is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Vital Farms pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Vital Farms' stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Vital Farms stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Vital Farms is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Strong Sell
Our recommendation module can be used to complement Vital Farms trade recommendation provided by average analyst sentiment. It analyzes the firm's potential to grow using fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Vital Farms is not overpriced, please validate all Vital Farms fundamentals, including its debt to equity, and the relationship between the ebitda and earnings per share . Given that Vital Farms has a number of shares shorted of 9.13 M, we advise you to double-check Vital Farms market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails

Examine Vital Farms Stock

Researching Vital Farms' stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 34.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 103.36. Vital Farms had not issued any dividends in recent years.
To determine if Vital Farms is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Vital Farms' research are outlined below:
Vital Farms had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Vital Farms has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 89.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from zacks.com: PepsiCo Agrees to Buy the Remaining 50 percent Stake in Sabra and Obela

Vital Farms Quarterly Good Will

5.47 Million

Vital Farms uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Vital Farms. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Vital Farms' previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
14th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
2nd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
14th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Vital Farms' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Vital Farms' investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2022-11-03
2022-09-300.010.020.01100 
2021-03-24
2020-12-31-0.01-0.02-0.01100 
2021-11-09
2021-09-30-0.06-0.030.0350 
2020-11-10
2020-09-300.010.040.03300 
2022-08-04
2022-06-30-0.030.00470.0347115 
2024-11-07
2024-09-300.120.160.0433 
2023-11-02
2023-09-300.050.10.05100 
2024-03-07
2023-12-310.090.170.0888 

Know Vital Farms' Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Vital Farms is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vital Farms backward and forwards among themselves. Vital Farms' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Vital Farms' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
State Street Corp2024-06-30
717.2 K
Emerald Advisers, Llc2024-09-30
706.4 K
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
683.6 K
Driehaus Capital Management Llc2024-06-30
682.2 K
Principal Financial Group Inc2024-09-30
655.8 K
Lord, Abbett & Co Llc2024-09-30
643.1 K
Two Sigma Investments Llc2024-09-30
614.9 K
Pictet Asset Manangement Sa2024-06-30
609.2 K
Emerald Mutual Fund Advisers Trust2024-09-30
531.7 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
3.7 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
2.1 M
Note, although Vital Farms' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Vital Farms' market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 1.42 B.

Market Cap

998.45 Million

Vital Farms' profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.11  0.06 
Return On Capital Employed 0.18  0.11 
Return On Assets 0.11  0.06 
Return On Equity 0.15  0.26 
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.09 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.06 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.06.
Determining Vital Farms' profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Vital Farms is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Vital Farms' profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Vital Farms' profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Evaluate Vital Farms' management efficiency

Vital Farms has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.1254 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.1254 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.2293 %, meaning that it created $0.2293 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Vital Farms' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Vital Farms manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Equity is expected to rise to 0.26 this year, although the value of Return On Tangible Assets will most likely fall to 0.06. The value of Total Assets is estimated to slide to about 176.5 M. The value of Net Tangible Assets is estimated to slide to about 98.2 M
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 4.21  2.54 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 4.12  2.46 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 14.84  14.10 
Price Book Value Ratio 3.86  3.66 
Enterprise Value Multiple 14.84  14.10 
Price Fair Value 3.86  3.66 
Enterprise Value672.4 M921.7 M
Understanding the operational decisions made by Vital Farms management offers insights into its financial robustness. This evaluation is crucial for assessing the stock's investment potential.
Beta
0.97

Basic technical analysis of Vital Stock

As of the 28th of November, Vital Farms has the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0193, coefficient of variation of 6577.4, and Semi Deviation of 3.79. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Vital Farms, as well as the relationship between them. Please validate Vital Farms jensen alpha and downside variance to decide if Vital Farms is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 32.34 per share. Given that Vital Farms has jensen alpha of (0.17), we advise you to double-check Vital Farms's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Vital Farms' insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Vital Farms insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Vital Farms' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Vital Farms insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Vital Farms' Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Vital Farms issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Vital Farms uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Vital bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Vital Farms has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Vital Farms' technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Vital Farms' various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Vital Farms' intraday indicators

Vital Farms intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Vital Farms stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Vital Farms Corporate Filings

F4
26th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
13A
14th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
10Q
7th of November 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
F3
18th of September 2024
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
Vital Farms time-series forecasting models is one of many Vital Farms' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Vital Farms' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Vital Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Vital Farms that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Vital media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Vital internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Vital data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Vital Farms news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Vital Farms relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Vital Farms' headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Vital Farms alpha.

Vital Farms Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Vital Farms can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Vital Farms Corporate Management

When determining whether Vital Farms is a strong investment it is important to analyze Vital Farms' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Vital Farms' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Vital Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Vital Farms. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
For more information on how to buy Vital Stock please use our How to buy in Vital Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vital Farms. If investors know Vital will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vital Farms listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.6
Earnings Share
1.12
Revenue Per Share
13.619
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.313
Return On Assets
0.1254
The market value of Vital Farms is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vital that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vital Farms' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vital Farms' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vital Farms' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vital Farms' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Vital Farms' value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Vital Farms is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vital Farms' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.