Origin Materials Stock Analysis

ORGN Stock  USD 0.75  0.03  3.85%   
Origin Materials is fairly valued with Real Value of 0.74 and Target Price of 2.5. The main objective of Origin Materials stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Origin Materials is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Origin Materials' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Origin Materials stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Origin Materials is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, National Mourning Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Origin Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Origin Materials. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
To learn how to invest in Origin Stock, please use our How to Invest in Origin Materials guide.

Origin Stock Analysis Notes

About 18.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.34. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Origin Materials recorded a loss per share of 0.58. The entity last dividend was issued on the 25th of February 2020. Micromidas, Inc., doing business as Origin Materials, produces and commercializes plant-based PET plastic. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is based in West Sacramento, California with a facility in Sarnia, Canada. Origin Materials operates under Chemicals classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 86 people. To find out more about Origin Materials contact Richard Riley at 916 231 9329 or learn more at https://www.originmaterials.com.

Origin Materials Investment Alerts

Origin Materials generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Origin Materials has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Origin Materials has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 31.28 M. Net Loss for the year was (83.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 418 K.
Origin Materials currently holds about 406.14 M in cash with (50.83 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.95, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
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Origin Materials Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Origin Materials to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period..
22nd of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
8th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
22nd of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Origin Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Origin Materials' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2007-03-13
2006-12-310.090.08-0.0111 
2006-11-02
2006-09-300.060.070.0116 
2006-05-09
2006-03-310.060.05-0.0116 
View All Earnings Estimates

Origin Materials Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Origin Materials stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Synthetics Idea
Synthetics
Synthetics production and silicon
Chemicals Makers Idea
Chemicals Makers
Chemicals for crops, soil, human, and animals
Chemicals Idea
Chemicals
USA Equities from Chemicals industry as classified by Fama & French

Origin Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Amvescap Plc.2024-12-31
601.4 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-12-31
592.5 K
Bnp Paribas Investment Partners Sa2024-12-31
524.7 K
State Street Corp2024-12-31
508.2 K
Royal Bank Of Canada2024-12-31
433.6 K
Bank Of America Corp2024-12-31
423.6 K
Susquehanna International Group, Llp2024-12-31
387.4 K
Hudson Bay Capital Management Lp2024-12-31
325.4 K
Two Sigma Investments Llc2024-12-31
317.8 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
5.7 M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
2.1 M
Note, although Origin Materials' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Origin Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 112.46 M.

Origin Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (2.68) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (1.75) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $1.75.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.22)(0.21)
Return On Capital Employed(0.23)(0.22)
Return On Assets(0.22)(0.21)
Return On Equity(0.25)(0.26)

Management Efficiency

Origin Materials has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.1036) % which means that it has lost $0.1036 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.22) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Origin Materials' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Origin Materials manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of the 23rd of March 2025, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to grow to -0.21. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is likely to grow to -0.22. At this time, Origin Materials' Total Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 23rd of March 2025, Net Tangible Assets is likely to grow to about 454.9 M, while Other Assets are likely to drop about 4.3 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA-2.5 K-2.7 K
Price Book Value Ratio 541.68  514.60 
Enterprise Value Multiple-2.5 K-2.7 K
Price Fair Value 541.68  514.60 
At Origin Materials, effective management practices are pivotal to sustaining long-term profitability. We delve into financial metrics and market conditions to provide a comprehensive analysis of the stock's prospects.
Operating Margin
(1.75)
Profit Margin
(2.68)
Beta
0.887
Return On Assets
(0.10)
Return On Equity
(0.22)

Technical Drivers

As of the 23rd of March, Origin Materials holds the Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.08), variance of 26.3, and Coefficient Of Variation of (980.63). Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Origin Materials, as well as the relationship between them.

Origin Materials Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was twenty-three with a total number of output elements of thirty-eight. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Origin Materials middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Origin Materials. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Origin Materials Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Origin Materials insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Origin Materials' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Origin Materials insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Origin Materials Outstanding Bonds

Origin Materials issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Origin Materials uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Origin bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Origin Materials has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Origin Materials Predictive Daily Indicators

Origin Materials intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Origin Materials stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Origin Materials Forecast Models

Origin Materials' time-series forecasting models are one of many Origin Materials' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Origin Materials' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Origin Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Origin Materials prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Origin shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Origin Materials. By using and applying Origin Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Origin entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(2.65)(2.52)
Operating Profit Margin(2.71)(2.85)
Net Loss(2.68)(2.54)
Gross Profit Margin 0.01  0.01 

Current Origin Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Origin analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Origin analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
2.5Strong Buy1Odds
Origin Materials current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Origin analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Origin stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Origin Materials, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Origin conference calls.
Origin Analyst Advice Details

Origin Stock Analysis Indicators

Origin Materials stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Origin Materials stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Origin Materials shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Origin Materials stock analysis, traders can identify Origin Materials position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow75.5 M
Long Term Debt1.7 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding143.2 B
Total Stockholder Equity338.4 M
Tax Provision669 K
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y2.667
Property Plant And Equipment Net207.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments102.9 M
Cash56.3 M
Accounts Payable2.9 M
Net Debt-46.6 M
50 Day M A0.9145
Total Current Liabilities12.5 M
Other Operating Expenses116.1 M
Non Current Assets Total238.9 M
Non Currrent Assets Other30.5 M
Stock Based Compensation10.1 M
When determining whether Origin Materials offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Origin Materials' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Origin Materials Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Origin Materials Stock:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Origin Materials. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
To learn how to invest in Origin Stock, please use our How to Invest in Origin Materials guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Origin Materials. If investors know Origin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Origin Materials listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.667
Earnings Share
(0.58)
Revenue Per Share
0.218
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.29)
Return On Assets
(0.10)
The market value of Origin Materials is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Origin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Origin Materials' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Origin Materials' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Origin Materials' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Origin Materials' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Origin Materials' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Origin Materials is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Origin Materials' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.