Origin Materials Stock Performance
| ORGN Stock | USD 0.75 0.03 3.85% |
The company holds a Beta of -1.02, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market becomes more bullish, returns on owning Origin Materials are expected to decrease slowly. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Origin Materials is expected to outperform it slightly. At this point, Origin Materials has a negative expected return of -0.3%. Please make sure to check Origin Materials' value at risk, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and period momentum indicator , to decide if Origin Materials performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Very Weak
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Origin Materials has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors. ...more
Dividend Date 2020-02-25 |
1 | Acquisition by John Bissell of 450000 shares of Origin Materials subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/23/2024 |
2 | Disposition of 55000 shares by John Bissell of Origin Materials at 1.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/27/2024 |
3 | Acquisition by Rogerson Craig A of 12695 shares of Origin Materials at 1.28 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/31/2024 |
4 | Disposition of 1400 shares by Joshua Lee of Origin Materials at 1.195 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/02/2025 |
5 | Acquisition by Hickox John of 316327 shares of Origin Materials subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/17/2025 |
6 | Disposition of 45000 shares by Richard Riley of Origin Materials at 4.7 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/24/2025 |
7 | Origin Materials Develops Biomass Conversion Technology | 01/30/2025 |
8 | Origin Materials, Inc. Short Interest Up 24.9 percent in January - MarketBeat | 02/04/2025 |
9 | Disposition of 25000 shares by Joshua Lee of Origin Materials at 1.0249 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/06/2025 |
10 | Origin Materials shares rise as it starts production of worlds first recyclable plastic bottle caps - The Business Journals | 02/20/2025 |
11 | Acquisition by John Bissell of 150000 shares of Origin Materials subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/26/2025 |
12 | Disposition of 71114 shares by Joshua Lee of Origin Materials at 0.14 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/28/2025 |
13 | Disposition of 9725 shares by Matthew Plavan of Origin Materials at 0.8579 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/05/2025 |
14 | Origin Materials Share Price Crosses Below 200 Day Moving Average Time to Sell | 03/07/2025 |
15 | Origin Materials Inc Q4 Earnings EPS of -0.09 Beats Estimate, Revenue at 9. ... | 03/13/2025 |
16 | Q4 2024 Origin Materials Inc Earnings Call Transcript | 03/14/2025 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 75.5 M |
Origin |
Origin Materials Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 99.00 in Origin Materials on December 21, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (22.00) from holding Origin Materials or give up 22.22% of portfolio value over 90 days. Origin Materials is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 5.1818% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 46% of stocks are less volatile than Origin, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Origin Materials Market Risk Analysis
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Origin Materials' investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Origin Materials, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Origin Materials' price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.
Sharpe Ratio = -0.0582
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| Cash | Small Risk | Average Risk | High Risk | Huge Risk |
| Negative Returns | ORGN |
Estimated Market Risk
| 5.18 actual daily | 46 54% of assets are more volatile |
Expected Return
| -0.3 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
| -0.06 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average Origin Materials is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Origin Materials by adding Origin Materials to a well-diversified portfolio.
Origin Materials Fundamentals Growth
Origin Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Origin Materials, and Origin Materials fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Origin Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.21 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.1 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (2.30) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (2.10) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 22.51 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 149.36 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 10.24 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.34 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 3.30 X | ||||
| Revenue | 31.28 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 3.99 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (71.94 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (83.7 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 406.14 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 2.95 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 9.68 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.04 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 43.25 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 2.51 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (50.83 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.58) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 115.75 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 378.03 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (38.13 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 126.62 M | ||||
About Origin Materials Performance
By examining Origin Materials' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Origin Materials' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Origin Materials is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 10.24 | 9.73 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.22) | (0.21) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.23) | (0.22) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.22) | (0.21) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.25) | (0.26) |
Things to note about Origin Materials performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Origin Materials for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Origin Materials help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Origin Materials generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Origin Materials has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Origin Materials has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 31.28 M. Net Loss for the year was (83.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.99 M. | |
| Origin Materials currently holds about 406.14 M in cash with (50.83 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.95, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by John Bissell of 450000 shares of Origin Materials subject to Rule 16b-3 |
- Analyzing Origin Materials' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Origin Materials' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Origin Materials' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Origin Materials' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Origin Materials' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Origin Materials' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Origin Materials' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Origin Materials. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price. To learn how to invest in Origin Stock, please use our How to Invest in Origin Materials guide.You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Is Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Origin Materials. If investors know Origin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Origin Materials listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.667 | Earnings Share (0.58) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.149 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Origin Materials is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Origin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Origin Materials' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Origin Materials' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Origin Materials' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Origin Materials' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Origin Materials' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Origin Materials is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Origin Materials' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.