Natural Grocers By Stock Analysis

NGVC Stock  USD 38.54  0.69  1.76%   
Natural Grocers by is overvalued with Real Value of 28.19 and Target Price of 19.0. The main objective of Natural Grocers stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Natural Grocers by is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Natural Grocers' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Natural Grocers stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Natural Grocers' ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Natural Grocers by. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.

Natural Stock Analysis Notes

About 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Natural Grocers was now reported as 7.36. The company last dividend was issued on the 3rd of September 2024. Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, retails natural and organic groceries, and dietary supplements in the United States. Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Lakewood, Colorado. Natural Grocers is traded on New York Stock Exchange in the United States. To find out more about Natural Grocers by contact the company at 303 986 4600 or learn more at https://www.naturalgrocers.com.

Natural Grocers Quarterly Total Revenue

330.22 Million

Natural Grocers by Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Natural Grocers' investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Natural Grocers by or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Natural Grocers by had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Natural Grocers by has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Owning 40 percent in Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. means that insiders are heavily invested in the companys future

Natural Grocers by Upcoming and Recent Events

Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Natural Grocers previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
1st of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
2nd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
21st of November 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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30th of September 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View

Natural Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Natural Grocers' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2020-02-06
2019-12-310.090.08-0.0111 
2017-11-16
2017-09-300.050.060.0120 
2016-11-17
2016-09-300.080.07-0.0112 
View All Earnings Estimates

Natural Grocers Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Natural Grocers' ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Natural Grocers' performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Natural Grocers' operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Natural Grocers' stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Natural Grocers Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Natural Grocers stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Retail Idea
Retail
USA Equities from Retail industry as classified by Fama & French

Natural Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Amvescap Plc.2024-12-31
136.5 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
130 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-12-31
119.1 K
Oberweis Asset Management Inc2024-12-31
107.1 K
Foundry Partners, Llc2024-12-31
104.3 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
101.6 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
101.3 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-12-31
94.1 K
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2024-12-31
88.3 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-12-31
1.1 M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
704.2 K
Note, although Natural Grocers' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Natural Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 792.76 M.

Natural Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.03 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.04 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.04.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.06  0.05 
Return On Capital Employed 0.11  0.12 
Return On Assets 0.06  0.05 
Return On Equity 0.22  0.15 

Management Efficiency

Natural Grocers by has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0418 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0418 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.1841 %, meaning that it created $0.1841 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Natural Grocers' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Natural Grocers manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The current year's Return On Capital Employed is expected to grow to 0.12, whereas Return On Tangible Assets are forecasted to decline to 0.05. At present, Natural Grocers' Non Currrent Assets Other are projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Other Assets is expected to grow to about 929.1 K, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 395.2 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 6.89  4.22 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 6.35  3.98 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 24.82  18.40 
Price Book Value Ratio 4.46  7.87 
Enterprise Value Multiple 24.82  18.40 
Price Fair Value 4.46  7.87 
Enterprise Value912.4 M958.1 M
The leadership approach at Natural Grocers' fosters a culture of excellence and accountability. Our analysis examines how this culture influences financial outcomes and stock valuation.
Dividend Yield
0.0116
Operating Margin
0.0429
Profit Margin
0.0254
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0116
Beta
1.079

Technical Drivers

As of the 25th of March, Natural Grocers secures the Mean Deviation of 2.4, standard deviation of 3.22, and insignificant Risk Adjusted Performance. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Natural Grocers by, as well as the relationship between them.

Natural Grocers by Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was nineteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-two. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Natural Grocers middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Natural Grocers by. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Natural Grocers by Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Natural Grocers insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Natural Grocers' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Natural Grocers insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Natural Grocers Outstanding Bonds

Natural Grocers issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Natural Grocers by uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Natural bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Natural Grocers by has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Natural Grocers Predictive Daily Indicators

Natural Grocers intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Natural Grocers stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Natural Grocers Corporate Filings

8K
11th of March 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
10th of March 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
7th of March 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
10Q
6th of February 2025
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
24th of January 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
14th of January 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
8K
7th of January 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
3rd of January 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Natural Grocers Forecast Models

Natural Grocers' time-series forecasting models are one of many Natural Grocers' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Natural Grocers' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Natural Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Natural Grocers prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Natural shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Natural Grocers. By using and applying Natural Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Natural entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.04  0.03 
Operating Profit Margin 0.04  0.04 
Net Profit Margin 0.02  0.02 
Gross Profit Margin 0.34  0.31 

Current Natural Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Natural analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Natural analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
19.0Strong Sell0Odds
Natural Grocers by current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Natural analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Natural stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Natural Grocers by, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Natural conference calls.
Natural Analyst Advice Details

Natural Stock Analysis Indicators

Natural Grocers by stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Natural Grocers stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Natural Grocers shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Natural Grocers stock analysis, traders can identify Natural Grocers position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow18.3 M
Total Stockholder Equity174.3 M
Capital Lease Obligations346.5 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net494.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments8.9 M
Net Invested Capital174.3 M
Cash8.9 M
50 Day M A28.7028
Net Interest Income-4.2 M
Total Current Liabilities164.1 M
Investments-38.6 M
Interest Expense4.2 M
Stock Based Compensation2.8 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding23.1 M
Tax Provision8.9 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.29
Free Cash Flow35.1 M
Other Current Assets4.9 M
Accounts Payable88.4 M
Net Debt337.6 M
Depreciation30.9 M
Other Operating Expenses1.2 B
Non Current Assets Total508.4 M
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity655.5 M
Non Currrent Assets Other458 K

Complementary Tools for Natural Stock analysis

When running Natural Grocers' price analysis, check to measure Natural Grocers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Natural Grocers is operating at the current time. Most of Natural Grocers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Natural Grocers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Natural Grocers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Natural Grocers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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