Is Natural Grocers Stock a Good Investment?
Natural Grocers Investment Advice | NGVC |
- Examine Natural Grocers' financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
- Research Natural Grocers' leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Natural Grocers navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
- Consider the overall health of the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail space and any emerging trends that could impact Natural Grocers' business and its evolving consumer preferences.
- Compare Natural Grocers' performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Natural Grocers is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
- Check if Natural Grocers pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
- Review what financial analysts are saying about Natural Grocers' stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Natural Grocers by stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Natural Grocers by is a good investment.
Sell | Buy |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Sell | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Examine Natural Grocers Stock
Researching Natural Grocers' stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Natural Grocers was now reported as 7.36. The company last dividend was issued on the 3rd of September 2024.
To determine if Natural Grocers is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Natural Grocers' research are outlined below:
| Natural Grocers by generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Natural Grocers by has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Natural Grocers by has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Owning 40 percent in Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. means that insiders are heavily invested in the companys future |
Natural Grocers Quarterly Good Will |
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Natural Grocers uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Natural Grocers by. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Natural Grocers' previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
| 1st of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 2nd of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 21st of November 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Natural Grocers' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Natural Grocers' investors have experienced.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020-02-06 | 2019-12-31 | 0.09 | 0.08 | -0.01 | 11 | ||
2017-11-16 | 2017-09-30 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 20 | ||
2016-11-17 | 2016-09-30 | 0.08 | 0.07 | -0.01 | 12 | ||
2019-08-01 | 2019-06-30 | 0.07 | 0.09 | 0.02 | 28 | ||
2015-01-29 | 2014-12-31 | 0.14 | 0.16 | 0.02 | 14 | ||
2014-01-30 | 2013-12-31 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.02 | 18 | ||
2013-01-31 | 2012-12-31 | 0.08 | 0.1 | 0.02 | 25 | ||
2022-08-04 | 2022-06-30 | 0.2 | 0.17 | -0.03 | 15 |
Natural Grocers Analyst Ratings
Natural Grocers' analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Natural Grocers stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Natural Grocers' financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Natural Grocers' historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Know Natural Grocers' Top Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Natural Grocers is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Natural Grocers by backward and forwards among themselves. Natural Grocers' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Natural Grocers' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-12-31 | 136.5 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-12-31 | 130 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-12-31 | 119.1 K | Oberweis Asset Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 107.1 K | Foundry Partners, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 104.3 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-12-31 | 101.6 K | Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 101.3 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 94.1 K | Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership | 2024-12-31 | 88.3 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 1.1 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 704.2 K |
Natural Grocers' market capitalization trends
The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 792.76 M.Market Cap |
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Natural Grocers' profitablity analysis
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.06 | 0.05 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.11 | 0.12 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.06 | 0.05 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.22 | 0.15 |
Determining Natural Grocers' profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Natural Grocers is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Natural Grocers' profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Natural Grocers' profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Please note, the presentation of Natural Grocers' financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Natural Grocers' management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Natural Grocers' management manipulating its earnings.
Evaluate Natural Grocers' management efficiency
Natural Grocers by has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0418 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0418 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.1841 %, meaning that it created $0.1841 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Natural Grocers' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Natural Grocers manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The current year's Return On Capital Employed is expected to grow to 0.12, whereas Return On Tangible Assets are forecasted to decline to 0.05. At present, Natural Grocers' Non Currrent Assets Other are projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Other Assets is expected to grow to about 929.1 K, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 395.2 M.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | 6.89 | 4.22 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | 6.35 | 3.98 | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 24.82 | 18.40 | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | 4.46 | 7.87 | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | 24.82 | 18.40 | |
| Price Fair Value | 4.46 | 7.87 | |
| Enterprise Value | 912.4 M | 958.1 M |
The leadership approach at Natural Grocers' fosters a culture of excellence and accountability. Our analysis examines how this culture influences financial outcomes and stock valuation.
Basic technical analysis of Natural Stock
As of the 24th of March, Natural Grocers secures the Mean Deviation of 2.37, standard deviation of 3.19, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02). In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Natural Grocers by, as well as the relationship between them.Natural Grocers' insider trading activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Natural Grocers insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Natural Grocers' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Natural Grocers insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Natural Grocers' Outstanding Corporate Bonds
Natural Grocers issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Natural Grocers by uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Natural bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Natural Grocers by has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
Understand Natural Grocers' technical and predictive indicators
Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Natural Grocers' various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.08) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.37 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (2,976) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.19 | |||
| Variance | 10.17 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.125 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.09) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.17 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.63) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.46 | |||
| Skewness | (0.14) | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.33 |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.08) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.37 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (2,976) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.19 | |||
| Variance | 10.17 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.125 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.09) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.17 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.63) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.46 | |||
| Skewness | (0.14) | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.33 |
Consider Natural Grocers' intraday indicators
Natural Grocers intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Natural Grocers stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Natural Grocers Corporate Filings
8K | 11th of March 2025 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
F4 | 10th of March 2025 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
10Q | 6th of February 2025 Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations | ViewVerify |
| 24th of January 2025 Other Reports | ViewVerify |
Natural Stock media impact
Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Natural Grocers that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Natural media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Natural internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Natural data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Natural Grocers news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Natural Grocers relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Natural Grocers' headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Natural Grocers alpha.
Natural Grocers Sentiment by Major News Outlets
Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Natural Grocers can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.
Natural Grocers Maximum Pain Price Across June 20th 2025 Option Contracts
Natural Grocers' options can also be used to analyze investors' bias and current market sentiment in the context of behavioral finance. For example, Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of Natural Grocers close to the expiration of its current option contract to expire worthlessly. According to most research, about 35% of options are not executed, with roughly 50% traded out before expiration. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net favorable position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthlessly. Please continue to view the detailed analysis of Natural Grocers' options.
Natural Grocers Corporate Management
| David Rooney | Independent Director | Profile | |
| Jessica Thiessen | Assistant Treasurer | Profile | |
| Richard Hall | Chief Officer | Profile | |
| John Esq | VP Counsel | Profile |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Natural Grocers by. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Is Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Natural Grocers. If investors know Natural will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Natural Grocers listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.29 | Dividend Share 0.4 | Earnings Share 1.34 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.097 |
The market value of Natural Grocers by is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Natural that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Natural Grocers' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Natural Grocers' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Natural Grocers' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Natural Grocers' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Natural Grocers' value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Natural Grocers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Natural Grocers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.