Goosehead Insurance Stock Analysis

GSHD Stock  USD 126.50  3.19  2.46%   
Goosehead Insurance is overvalued with Real Value of 104.76 and Target Price of 72.75. The main objective of Goosehead Insurance stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Goosehead Insurance is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Goosehead Insurance's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Goosehead Insurance stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Goosehead Insurance's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Goosehead Insurance. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.
For information on how to trade Goosehead Stock refer to our How to Trade Goosehead Stock guide.

Goosehead Stock Analysis Notes

About 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 6th of August 2021. Goosehead Insurance, Inc. operates as a holding company for Goosehead Financial, LLC that provides personal lines insurance agency services in the United States. Goosehead Insurance, Inc. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Westlake, Texas. Goosehead Insurance operates under InsuranceDiversified classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 1238 people. To learn more about Goosehead Insurance call Mark Jones at 214 838 5500 or check out https://www.goosehead.com.

Goosehead Insurance Quarterly Total Revenue

78.03 Million

Goosehead Insurance Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Goosehead Insurance's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Goosehead Insurance or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Goosehead Insurance has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Goosehead Insurance stock soars to 52-week high of 124.11 By Investing.com - Investing.com UK

Goosehead Insurance Upcoming and Recent Events

28th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
24th of April 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
28th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Goosehead Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Goosehead Insurance's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2019-11-01
2019-09-300.080.07-0.0112 
2022-04-26
2022-03-310.020.040.02100 
2022-02-23
2021-12-310.080.06-0.0225 
View All Earnings Estimates

Goosehead Insurance Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Goosehead Insurance's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Goosehead Insurance's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Goosehead Insurance's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Goosehead Insurance's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Goosehead Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
American Century Companies Inc2024-09-30
428.8 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
411.5 K
Akre Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
366.1 K
Riverbridge Partners Llc2024-09-30
329.5 K
3g Capital Partners Ltd2024-09-30
290 K
Capital Research & Mgmt Co - Division 32024-09-30
267 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
246.1 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
241.3 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
210.2 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
3.7 M
Kayne Anderson Rudnick Investment Management Llc2024-06-30
3.4 M
Note, although Goosehead Insurance's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Goosehead Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 4.81 B.

Goosehead Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.07 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.21 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.21.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.04  0.04 
Return On Capital Employed 0.10  0.13 
Return On Assets 0.04  0.04 
Return On Equity 0.25  0.26 

Management Efficiency

Goosehead Insurance has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0637 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0637 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.7673 %, meaning that it created $0.7673 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Goosehead Insurance's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Goosehead Insurance manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At present, Goosehead Insurance's Return On Equity is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. At present, Goosehead Insurance's Net Tangible Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Non Current Assets Total is expected to grow to about 294.3 M, whereas Return On Tangible Assets are forecasted to decline to 0.04.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 0.70  0.74 
Tangible Book Value Per Share(0.02)(0.02)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 41.79  45.91 
Price Book Value Ratio 32.07  33.68 
Enterprise Value Multiple 41.79  45.91 
Price Fair Value 32.07  33.68 
Enterprise Value771.6 M790.8 M
Examining the leadership quality of Goosehead Insurance offers valuable insights into its operational efficiency and financial health. This analysis assists investors in making informed decisions regarding the stock.
Operating Margin
0.2083
Profit Margin
0.0679
Beta
1.324
Return On Assets
0.0637
Return On Equity
0.7673

Technical Drivers

As of the 28th of November, Goosehead Insurance retains the Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 1.01, risk adjusted performance of 0.2292, and Downside Deviation of 1.4. Goosehead Insurance technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please check out Goosehead Insurance value at risk, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and semi variance to decide if Goosehead Insurance is priced fairly, providing market reflects its last-minute price of 126.5 per share. Given that Goosehead Insurance has jensen alpha of 0.6131, we strongly advise you to confirm Goosehead Insurance's regular market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Goosehead Insurance Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was thirteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-eight. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Goosehead Insurance middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Goosehead Insurance. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Goosehead Insurance Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Goosehead Insurance insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Goosehead Insurance's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Goosehead Insurance insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
 
Mark Miller over two weeks ago
Disposition of 58327 shares by Mark Miller of Goosehead Insurance at 10.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Mark & Robyn Jones Descendants Trust 2014 over a month ago
Acquisition by Mark Robyn Jones Descendants Trust 2014 of 34 shares of Goosehead Insurance subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Patrick Langston over two months ago
Disposition of 4814 shares by Patrick Langston of Goosehead Insurance at 90.26 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Mark Jones over three months ago
Disposition of 500 shares by Mark Jones of Goosehead Insurance subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Mark Jones over three months ago
Disposition of 8977 shares by Mark Jones of Goosehead Insurance at 10.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Mark Jones over three months ago
Disposition of 11699 shares by Mark Jones of Goosehead Insurance at 10.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Patrick Langston over three months ago
Disposition of 7674 shares by Patrick Langston of Goosehead Insurance at 85.19 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Patrick Langston over three months ago
Disposition of 2326 shares by Patrick Langston of Goosehead Insurance at 85.1 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Robyn Jones over three months ago
Disposition of 2000 shares by Robyn Jones of Goosehead Insurance subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Mark Jones over three months ago
Disposition of 150000 shares by Mark Jones of Goosehead Insurance subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Cruzado Waded over three months ago
Acquisition by Cruzado Waded of 300 shares of Goosehead Insurance at 58.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Cruzado Waded over six months ago
Acquisition by Cruzado Waded of 10000 shares of Goosehead Insurance at 61.01 subject to Rule 16b-3

Goosehead Insurance Outstanding Bonds

Goosehead Insurance issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Goosehead Insurance uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Goosehead bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Goosehead Insurance has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Goosehead Insurance Predictive Daily Indicators

Goosehead Insurance intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Goosehead Insurance stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Goosehead Insurance Corporate Filings

13A
14th of November 2024
The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
ViewVerify
13A
13th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
F4
8th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
5th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
28th of October 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
10Q
24th of October 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
8K
23rd of October 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
18th of October 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Goosehead Insurance Forecast Models

Goosehead Insurance's time-series forecasting models are one of many Goosehead Insurance's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Goosehead Insurance's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Goosehead Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Goosehead Insurance prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Goosehead shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Goosehead Insurance. By using and applying Goosehead Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Goosehead entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.10  0.07 
Operating Profit Margin 0.13  0.13 
Net Profit Margin 0.05  0.09 
Gross Profit Margin 0.42  0.29 

Current Goosehead Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Goosehead analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Goosehead analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
72.75Buy10Odds
Goosehead Insurance current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Goosehead analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Goosehead stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Goosehead Insurance, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Goosehead conference calls.
Goosehead Analyst Advice Details

Goosehead Stock Analysis Indicators

Goosehead Insurance stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Goosehead Insurance stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Goosehead Insurance shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Goosehead Insurance stock analysis, traders can identify Goosehead Insurance position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow30.4 M
Long Term Debt67.6 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding38.4 M
Total Stockholder Equity56.6 M
Tax Provision2.7 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.051
Property Plant And Equipment Net68.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments42 M
Cash42 M
Accounts Payable16.4 M
Net Debt101.3 M
50 Day M A101.9945
Total Current Liabilities40.9 M
Other Operating Expenses228.3 M
Non Current Assets Total280.3 M
Forward Price Earnings56.1798
Non Currrent Assets Other13.1 M
Stock Based Compensation24 M

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When running Goosehead Insurance's price analysis, check to measure Goosehead Insurance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Goosehead Insurance is operating at the current time. Most of Goosehead Insurance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Goosehead Insurance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Goosehead Insurance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Goosehead Insurance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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