Mingzhu Logistics Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| YGMZ Stock | USD 1.08 0.03 2.70% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
38
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.52) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
Using Mingzhu Logistics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mingzhu Logistics Holdings from the perspective of Mingzhu Logistics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Mingzhu Logistics to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Mingzhu because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Mingzhu Logistics after-hype prediction price | USD 1.07 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Mingzhu |
Mingzhu Logistics After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Mingzhu Logistics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mingzhu Logistics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Mingzhu Logistics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mingzhu Logistics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Mingzhu Logistics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mingzhu Logistics' historical news coverage. Mingzhu Logistics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 6.91, respectively. We have considered Mingzhu Logistics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Mingzhu Logistics is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mingzhu Logistics is based on 3 months time horizon.
Mingzhu Logistics Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mingzhu Logistics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mingzhu Logistics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mingzhu Logistics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 5.84 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 3 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.08 | 1.07 | 0.93 |
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Mingzhu Logistics Hype Timeline
Mingzhu Logistics is at this time traded for 1.08. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Mingzhu is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.07. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.93%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Mingzhu Logistics is about 2312.87%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.11. About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.16. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Mingzhu Logistics had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:8 split on the 1st of July 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Mingzhu Logistics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Mingzhu Logistics Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mingzhu Logistics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mingzhu Logistics' future price movements. Getting to know how Mingzhu Logistics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mingzhu Logistics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PTSI | PAM Transportation Services | 0.19 | 6 per month | 2.76 | 0.08 | 5.94 | (4.50) | 17.32 | |
| DSKE | Daseke Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.56 | (3.86) | 19.58 | |
| USX | US Xpress Enterprises | (0.02) | 9 per month | 0.17 | (0.27) | 0.67 | (0.50) | 1.82 | |
| RXO | RXO Inc | (1.20) | 9 per month | 2.70 | (0) | 4.03 | (4.24) | 23.12 | |
| TFII | TFI International | (2.72) | 8 per month | 1.47 | (0.04) | 2.92 | (2.96) | 12.09 | |
| MRTN | Marten Transport | (0.07) | 7 per month | 1.55 | (0.07) | 2.42 | (2.57) | 11.37 | |
| WERN | Werner Enterprises | 0.42 | 9 per month | 1.31 | 0.01 | 2.80 | (2.37) | 10.67 | |
| CVLG | Covenant Logistics Group, | 1.59 | 9 per month | 1.37 | 0.02 | 2.96 | (2.30) | 12.53 | |
| ULH | Universal Logistics Holdings | 0.78 | 7 per month | 2.49 | 0.08 | 4.21 | (2.97) | 17.47 | |
| SNDR | Schneider National | 0.15 | 8 per month | 1.01 | 0.14 | 3.15 | (1.69) | 6.88 | |
| HTLD | Heartland Express | 0.15 | 12 per month | 1.50 | (0.03) | 2.38 | (2.46) | 10.96 | |
| ARCB | ArcBest Corp | 3.76 | 8 per month | 2.45 | 0.01 | 4.33 | (4.09) | 22.65 |
Mingzhu Logistics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mingzhu price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mingzhu using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mingzhu charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Mingzhu Logistics Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Mingzhu Logistics stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Mingzhu Logistics Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mingzhu Logistics based on analysis of Mingzhu Logistics hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Mingzhu Logistics's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Mingzhu Logistics's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.008008 | 0.008409 | Price To Sales Ratio | 5.25 | 4.98 |
Story Coverage note for Mingzhu Logistics
The number of cover stories for Mingzhu Logistics depends on current market conditions and Mingzhu Logistics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mingzhu Logistics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mingzhu Logistics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Mingzhu Logistics Short Properties
Mingzhu Logistics' future price predictability will typically decrease when Mingzhu Logistics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Mingzhu Logistics Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Mingzhu Logistics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mingzhu Logistics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.7 M |
Additional Tools for Mingzhu Stock Analysis
When running Mingzhu Logistics' price analysis, check to measure Mingzhu Logistics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mingzhu Logistics is operating at the current time. Most of Mingzhu Logistics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mingzhu Logistics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mingzhu Logistics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mingzhu Logistics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.