Willis Lease Finance Stock Price Prediction
| WLFC Stock | USD 182.96 2.98 1.60% |
Momentum 40
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.582 | EPS Estimate Current Year 11.97 | EPS Estimate Next Year 13.05 | Wall Street Target Price 218 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.378 |
Using Willis Lease hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Willis Lease Finance from the perspective of Willis Lease response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Willis Lease Finance Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Willis Lease's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Willis. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Willis can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Willis Lease Finance. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Willis Lease's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Willis Lease.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Willis Lease to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Willis because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Willis Lease after-hype prediction price | USD 183.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Willis |
Willis Lease After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Willis Lease at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Willis Lease or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Willis Lease, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Willis Lease Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Willis Lease's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Willis Lease's historical news coverage. Willis Lease's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 179.41 and 186.59, respectively. We have considered Willis Lease's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Willis Lease is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Willis Lease Finance is based on 3 months time horizon.
Willis Lease Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Willis Lease is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Willis Lease backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Willis Lease, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 3.59 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 10 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
182.96 | 183.00 | 0.02 |
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Willis Lease Hype Timeline
Willis Lease Finance is at this time traded for 182.96. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Willis is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 183.0 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Willis Lease is about 2528.17%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 182.98. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 569.22 M. Net Income was 108.61 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 494.5 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Willis Lease Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Willis Lease Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Willis Lease's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Willis Lease's future price movements. Getting to know how Willis Lease's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Willis Lease may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CTOS | Custom Truck One | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 5.46 | (5.54) | 23.60 | |
| GATX | GATX Corporation | 0.93 | 12 per month | 0.00 | 0 | 2.11 | (1.90) | 7.23 | |
| HEES | HE Equipment Services | 0.16 | 9 per month | 0.83 | 0.11 | 1.53 | (3.34) | 107.70 | |
| ALTG | Alta Equipment Group | 0.33 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 6.91 | (6.29) | 15.90 | |
| AAN | The Aarons | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FTAIO | Fortress Transportation And | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.17 | 0.41 | 0.32 | (0.28) | 2.14 | |
| TRTN-PA | Triton International Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.26 | 0.24 | 0.48 | (0.63) | 1.60 | |
| AFDG | African Discovery Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 7.69 | (9.09) | 96.43 | |
| BCVVF | BOC Aviation Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 6.22 | (6.18) | 14.25 | |
| BDIMF | Black Diamond Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.15 | (1.78) | 6.43 |
Willis Lease Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Willis price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Willis using various technical indicators. When you analyze Willis charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Willis Lease Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Willis Lease stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Willis Lease Finance, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Willis Lease based on analysis of Willis Lease hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Willis Lease's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Willis Lease's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.009122 | 0.0105 | 0.00993 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.15 | 0.76 | 2.5 |
Story Coverage note for Willis Lease
The number of cover stories for Willis Lease depends on current market conditions and Willis Lease's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Willis Lease is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Willis Lease's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Willis Lease Short Properties
Willis Lease's future price predictability will typically decrease when Willis Lease's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Willis Lease Finance often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Willis Lease's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Willis Lease's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.1 M |
Complementary Tools for Willis Stock analysis
When running Willis Lease's price analysis, check to measure Willis Lease's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Willis Lease is operating at the current time. Most of Willis Lease's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Willis Lease's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Willis Lease's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Willis Lease to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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