Workday Stock Price Prediction
| WDAY Stock | USD 244.17 6.95 2.93% |
Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.92) | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.1755 | EPS Estimate Next Year 8.4182 | Wall Street Target Price 313.8322 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 1.7769 |
Using Workday hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Workday from the perspective of Workday response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Workday using Workday's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Workday using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Workday's stock price.
Workday Short Interest
An investor who is long Workday may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Workday and may potentially protect profits, hedge Workday with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 244.8604 | Short Percent 0.0357 | Short Ratio 2.97 | Shares Short Prior Month 9.3 M | 50 Day MA 256.9196 |
Workday Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Workday's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Workday. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Workday can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Workday. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Workday's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Workday.
Workday Implied Volatility | 0.51 |
Workday's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Workday stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Workday's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Workday stock will not fluctuate a lot when Workday's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Workday to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Workday because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Workday after-hype prediction price | USD 245.42 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Workday contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Workday will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0319% per day over the life of the 2025-06-20 option contract. With Workday trading at USD 244.17, that is roughly USD 0.0778 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Workday's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Workday options at the current volatility level of 0.51%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Workday |
Workday After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Workday at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Workday or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Workday, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Workday Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Workday's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Workday's historical news coverage. Workday's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 243.33 and 247.51, respectively. We have considered Workday's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Workday is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Workday is based on 3 months time horizon.
Workday Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Workday is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Workday backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Workday, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 2.09 | 1.25 | 0.58 | 10 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
244.17 | 245.42 | 0.51 |
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Workday Hype Timeline
Workday is at this time traded for 244.17. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.25, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.58. Workday is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 245.42 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 31.71%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.51%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Workday is about 68.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 243.59. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 8.45 B. Net Income was 526 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.38 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Workday Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Workday Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Workday's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Workday's future price movements. Getting to know how Workday's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Workday may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| INTU | Intuit Inc | (22.66) | 8 per month | 0.00 | 0 | 3.01 | (2.35) | 17.47 | |
| ZM | Zoom Video Communications | 0.74 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.54 | (3.30) | 16.58 | |
| NOW | ServiceNow | 8.40 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.61 | (4.82) | 14.05 | |
| SNOW | Snowflake | 2.66 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.60 | (4.81) | 19.02 | |
| ADSK | Autodesk | 0.17 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.91 | (2.88) | 8.00 | |
| AI | C3 Ai Inc | 1.38 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 5.97 | (8.51) | 19.50 | |
| SHOP | Shopify | (3.32) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.57 | (6.41) | 16.75 | |
| CRM | Salesforce | (4.07) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.72 | (3.81) | 8.88 | |
| TEAM | Atlassian Corp Plc | (10.76) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.80 | (7.26) | 24.54 |
Workday Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Workday price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Workday using various technical indicators. When you analyze Workday charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Workday Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Workday stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Workday, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Workday based on analysis of Workday hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Workday's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Workday's related companies. | 2022 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 11.16 | 11.72 | 34.82 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 40.66 | 36.59 | 38.42 |
Story Coverage note for Workday
The number of cover stories for Workday depends on current market conditions and Workday's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Workday is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Workday's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Workday Short Properties
Workday's future price predictability will typically decrease when Workday's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Workday often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Workday's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Workday's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 269.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8 B |
Additional Tools for Workday Stock Analysis
When running Workday's price analysis, check to measure Workday's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Workday is operating at the current time. Most of Workday's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Workday's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Workday's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Workday to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.