Vornado Realty Trust Stock Price Prediction
VNO Stock | USD 39.38 0.68 1.76% |
Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.25) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.11) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.13 | Wall Street Target Price 38.8571 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.063 |
Using Vornado Realty hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vornado Realty Trust from the perspective of Vornado Realty response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Vornado Realty using Vornado Realty's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Vornado using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Vornado Realty's stock price.
Vornado Realty Short Interest
An investor who is long Vornado Realty may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Vornado Realty and may potentially protect profits, hedge Vornado Realty with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 35.6275 | Short Percent 0.0924 | Short Ratio 10.51 | Shares Short Prior Month 14.1 M | 50 Day MA 41.8354 |
Vornado Realty Trust Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Vornado Realty's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Vornado. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Vornado can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Vornado Realty Trust. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Vornado Realty's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Vornado Realty.
Vornado Realty Implied Volatility | 0.46 |
Vornado Realty's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Vornado Realty Trust stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Vornado Realty's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Vornado Realty stock will not fluctuate a lot when Vornado Realty's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Vornado Realty to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Vornado because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Vornado Realty after-hype prediction price | USD 39.38 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Vornado contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Vornado Realty Trust will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0288% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Vornado Realty trading at USD 39.38, that is roughly USD 0.0113 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Vornado Realty's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Vornado Realty Trust options at the current volatility level of 0.46%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Vornado |
Vornado Realty After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Vornado Realty at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vornado Realty or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Vornado Realty, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Vornado Realty Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Vornado Realty's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vornado Realty's historical news coverage. Vornado Realty's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 37.16 and 41.60, respectively. We have considered Vornado Realty's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Vornado Realty is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vornado Realty Trust is based on 3 months time horizon.
Vornado Realty Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Vornado Realty is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vornado Realty backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vornado Realty, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 2.24 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
39.38 | 39.38 | 0.00 |
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Vornado Realty Hype Timeline
On the 26th of February Vornado Realty Trust is traded for 39.38. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Vornado is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on Vornado Realty is about 1882.35%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.37. About 96.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.86. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Vornado Realty Trust last dividend was issued on the 16th of December 2024. The entity had 1237:1000 split on the 18th of July 2017. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Vornado Realty Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Vornado Realty Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Vornado Realty's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vornado Realty's future price movements. Getting to know how Vornado Realty's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vornado Realty may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
BXP | Boston Properties | 0.74 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.37 | (2.55) | 10.95 | |
ARE | Alexandria Real Estate | (1.22) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 2.79 | (2.85) | 8.21 | |
BDN | Brandywine Realty Trust | (0.03) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.48 | (3.14) | 10.92 | |
HPP | Hudson Pacific Properties | (0.10) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 8.13 | (6.56) | 25.79 | |
SLG | SL Green Realty | (0.57) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.24 | (3.27) | 9.08 | |
KRC | Kilroy Realty Corp | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.37 | (3.90) | 12.11 | |
HIW | Highwoods Properties | (0.52) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.80 | (2.81) | 6.35 | |
OFC | Corporate Office Properties | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
CUZ | Cousins Properties Incorporated | 0.06 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 1.81 | (2.80) | 7.40 | |
DEI | Douglas Emmett | 0.44 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.88 | (4.38) | 10.62 |
Vornado Realty Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Vornado price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vornado using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vornado charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Vornado Realty Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Vornado Realty stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Vornado Realty Trust, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vornado Realty based on analysis of Vornado Realty hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Vornado Realty's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Vornado Realty's related companies. 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0354 | 0.0254 | 0.0241 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.98 | 4.48 | 5.4 |
Story Coverage note for Vornado Realty
The number of cover stories for Vornado Realty depends on current market conditions and Vornado Realty's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vornado Realty is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vornado Realty's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Vornado Realty Short Properties
Vornado Realty's future price predictability will typically decrease when Vornado Realty's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Vornado Realty Trust often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Vornado Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vornado Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 196.6 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 733.9 M |
Check out Vornado Realty Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Is Diversified REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vornado Realty. If investors know Vornado will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vornado Realty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.25) | Dividend Share 0.74 | Earnings Share 0.04 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.063 |
The market value of Vornado Realty Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vornado that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vornado Realty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vornado Realty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vornado Realty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vornado Realty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vornado Realty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vornado Realty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vornado Realty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.