Uscf Gold Strategy Etf Price Prediction
| USG Etf | USD 33.63 0.01 0.03% |
Momentum 62
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using USCF Gold hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of USCF Gold Strategy from the perspective of USCF Gold response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards USCF Gold using USCF Gold's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards USCF using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of USCF Gold's stock price.
USCF Gold Implied Volatility | 0.3 |
USCF Gold's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of USCF Gold Strategy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if USCF Gold's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that USCF Gold stock will not fluctuate a lot when USCF Gold's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in USCF Gold to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying USCF because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
USCF Gold after-hype prediction price | USD 33.64 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current USCF contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that USCF Gold Strategy will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0188% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With USCF Gold trading at USD 33.63, that is roughly USD 0.006306 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating USCF Gold's daily price movement you should consider acquiring USCF Gold Strategy options at the current volatility level of 0.3%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
USCF |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of USCF Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
USCF Gold After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of USCF Gold at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in USCF Gold or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of USCF Gold, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
USCF Gold Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting USCF Gold's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on USCF Gold's historical news coverage. USCF Gold's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.94 and 34.34, respectively. We have considered USCF Gold's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
USCF Gold is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of USCF Gold Strategy is based on 3 months time horizon.
USCF Gold Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as USCF Gold is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading USCF Gold backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with USCF Gold, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 0.69 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 5 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
33.63 | 33.64 | 0.00 |
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USCF Gold Hype Timeline
On the 20th of March USCF Gold Strategy is traded for 33.63. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. USCF is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.25%. %. The volatility of related hype on USCF Gold is about 900.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 33.61. About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of USCF Gold was at this time reported as 10.24. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.37. USCF Gold Strategy last dividend was issued on the 3rd of October 2018. The entity had 1:40 split on the 20th of May 1993. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 5 days. Check out USCF Gold Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.USCF Gold Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to USCF Gold's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict USCF Gold's future price movements. Getting to know how USCF Gold's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how USCF Gold may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IAUM | iShares Gold Trust | (0.15) | 2 per month | 0.64 | 0.29 | 1.52 | (1.41) | 3.08 | |
| DULL | MicroSectors Gold 3X | (0.12) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 4.23 | (4.53) | 11.28 | |
| AAAU | Goldman Sachs Physical | 0.01 | 4 per month | 0.62 | 0.29 | 1.57 | (1.41) | 3.15 | |
| SGOL | abrdn Physical Gold | (0.03) | 3 per month | 0.64 | 0.28 | 1.55 | (1.39) | 3.16 | |
| SHNY | Microsectors Gold 3x | (0.76) | 1 per month | 2.34 | 0.20 | 4.61 | (4.30) | 9.93 | |
| SIVR | abrdn Physical Silver | 0.21 | 3 per month | 1.39 | 0.12 | 2.66 | (1.98) | 4.71 | |
| FGDL | Franklin Responsibly Sourced | (0.20) | 1 per month | 0.64 | 0.28 | 1.65 | (1.32) | 3.67 | |
| AGQ | ProShares Ultra Silver | 0.33 | 1 per month | 3.11 | 0.07 | 4.95 | (4.50) | 11.39 | |
| BAR | GraniteShares Gold Trust | 0.02 | 6 per month | 0.62 | 0.29 | 1.50 | (1.38) | 3.12 |
USCF Gold Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine USCF price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for USCF using various technical indicators. When you analyze USCF charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About USCF Gold Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of USCF Gold stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as USCF Gold Strategy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of USCF Gold based on analysis of USCF Gold hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to USCF Gold's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to USCF Gold's related companies.
Story Coverage note for USCF Gold
The number of cover stories for USCF Gold depends on current market conditions and USCF Gold's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that USCF Gold is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about USCF Gold's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out USCF Gold Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
The market value of USCF Gold Strategy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of USCF that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of USCF Gold's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is USCF Gold's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because USCF Gold's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect USCF Gold's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between USCF Gold's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if USCF Gold is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, USCF Gold's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.