Upexi Inc Stock Price Prediction

UPXI Stock  USD 4.78  0.14  3.02%   
As of 30th of November 2024, the relative strength index (RSI) of Upexi's share price is approaching 48. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Upexi, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

48

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Upexi's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Upexi Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Upexi's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
35.728
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(1.80)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(9.80)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(6.80)
Wall Street Target Price
25
Using Upexi hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Upexi Inc from the perspective of Upexi response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Upexi to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Upexi because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Upexi after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Upexi Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Upexi's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.203.9627.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.125.8829.54
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
3.644.004.44
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-1.8-1.8-1.8
Details

Upexi After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Upexi at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Upexi or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Upexi, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Upexi Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Upexi's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Upexi's historical news coverage. Upexi's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.15 and 26.66, respectively. We have considered Upexi's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
4.78
3.00
After-hype Price
26.66
Upside
Upexi is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Upexi Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Upexi Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Upexi is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Upexi backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Upexi, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.82 
23.66
  1.78 
  0.16 
5 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.78
3.00
37.24 
2,414  
Notes

Upexi Hype Timeline

Upexi Inc is at this time traded for 4.78. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.78, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.16. Upexi is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 3.0. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -37.24%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.82%. The volatility of related hype on Upexi is about 26886.36%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.94. About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.22. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Upexi Inc recorded a loss per share of 24.6. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:20 split on the 3rd of October 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 5 days.
Check out Upexi Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Upexi Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Upexi's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Upexi's future price movements. Getting to know how Upexi's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Upexi may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Upexi Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Upexi price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Upexi using various technical indicators. When you analyze Upexi charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Upexi Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Upexi stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Upexi Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Upexi based on analysis of Upexi hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Upexi's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Upexi's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding7.6936.8933.234.86
PTB Ratio47.4328.3932.6431.01

Story Coverage note for Upexi

The number of cover stories for Upexi depends on current market conditions and Upexi's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Upexi is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Upexi's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Upexi Short Properties

Upexi's future price predictability will typically decrease when Upexi's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Upexi Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Upexi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Upexi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding17.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.5 M

Complementary Tools for Upexi Stock analysis

When running Upexi's price analysis, check to measure Upexi's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Upexi is operating at the current time. Most of Upexi's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Upexi's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Upexi's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Upexi to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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